Virsliga · 2026

Virsliga Matchday 11 predictions

5 fixtures from May 6 to May 8. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Friday, May 8 · 16:00

Rīgas FS#1

5–0

FK Liepaja#4
1 · 67%X · 23%2 · 10%
Rīgas FS to win · 67%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Wednesday, May 6

  1. 1–0
    FS Jelgava#7
    Super Nova#6
    42%32%26%

Thursday, May 7

  1. 6–1
    Tukums#9
    Ogre United#10
    55%29%16%
  2. 7–0
    Auda#3
    Grobiņa#8
    61%27%12%

Friday, May 8

  1. 1–3
    BFC Daugavpils#5
    Riga#2
    12%24%64%
  2. 5–0
    Rīgas FS#1
    FK Liepaja#4
    67%23%10%

Virsliga Matchday 11 runs from May 6 to May 8 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Rīgas FS - FK Liepaja: Rīgas FS to win at 67%. The tightest match is FS Jelgava - Super Nova, where no outcome clears 42%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

All Virsliga predictions →Virsliga table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 11 FAQ

When is Virsliga Matchday 11 played?

From May 6 to May 8. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 11?

Rīgas FS - FK Liepaja: Rīgas FS to win at 67% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.