Virsliga · 2026
Virsliga Matchday 24 predictions
5 fixtures from July 26 to September 15. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, July 26 · 16:00
Every fixture this round
Tuesday, September 15
1X2Virsliga Matchday 24 runs from July 26 to September 15 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Super Nova - Riga: Riga to win at 77%. The tightest match is FS Jelgava - FK Liepaja, where no outcome clears 40%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- FS Jelgava 0–2 FK Liepaja, July 26: the model's pick was FK Liepaja to win (40%) and it came in.
- Auda 1–0 BFC Daugavpils, July 26: the model's pick was Auda to win (41%) and it came in.
- Tukums 0–1 Rīgas FS, July 27: the model's pick was Rīgas FS to win (67%) and it came in.
- Grobiņa 2–2 Ogre United, July 27: the model's pick was Grobiņa to win (49%) and it missed.
- Super Nova 0–1 Riga, September 15: the model's pick was Riga to win (77%) and it came in.
Matchday 24 FAQ
When is Virsliga Matchday 24 played?
From July 26 to September 15. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 24?
Super Nova - Riga: Riga to win at 77% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.









