Virsliga · 2026
Virsliga Matchday 7 predictions
5 fixtures from April 16 to April 18. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, April 18 · 13:00
Every fixture this round
Thursday, April 16
1X2Friday, April 17
1X2Saturday, April 18
1X2Virsliga Matchday 7 runs from April 16 to April 18 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Rīgas FS - Super Nova: Rīgas FS to win at 73%. The tightest match is BFC Daugavpils - FS Jelgava, where no outcome clears 46%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- BFC Daugavpils 1–0 FS Jelgava, April 16: the model's pick was BFC Daugavpils to win (46%) and it came in.
- Tukums 2–2 FK Liepaja, April 17: the model's pick was FK Liepaja to win (48%) and it missed.
- Ogre United 1–1 Auda, April 17: the model's pick was Auda to win (60%) and it missed.
- Grobiņa 0–3 Riga, April 18: the model's pick was Riga to win (70%) and it came in.
- Rīgas FS 2–0 Super Nova, April 18: the model's pick was Rīgas FS to win (73%) and it came in.
Matchday 7 FAQ
When is Virsliga Matchday 7 played?
From April 16 to April 18. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 7?
Rīgas FS - Super Nova: Rīgas FS to win at 73% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.









