Virsliga · 2026
Virsliga Matchday 27 predictions
5 fixtures from August 21 to August 23. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, August 23 · 16:00
Every fixture this round
Friday, August 21
1X2Saturday, August 22
1X2Sunday, August 23
1X2Virsliga Matchday 27 runs from August 21 to August 23 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Auda - Tukums: Auda to win at 64%. The tightest match is Ogre United - FS Jelgava, where no outcome clears 39%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- FK Liepaja 3–1 Grobiņa, August 21: the model's pick was FK Liepaja to win (59%) and it came in.
- Auda 3–0 Tukums, August 21: the model's pick was Auda to win (64%) and it came in.
- Super Nova 0–0 BFC Daugavpils, August 22: the model's pick was BFC Daugavpils to win (48%) and it missed.
- Ogre United 2–3 FS Jelgava, August 22: the model's pick was FS Jelgava to win (39%) and it came in.
- Rīgas FS 3–3 Riga, August 23: the model's pick was Rīgas FS to win (40%) and it missed.
Matchday 27 FAQ
When is Virsliga Matchday 27 played?
From August 21 to August 23. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 27?
Auda - Tukums: Auda to win at 64% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.









