Virsliga · 2026
Virsliga Matchday 31 predictions
5 fixtures from September 19 to September 20. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, September 20 · 15:00
Every fixture this round
Virsliga Matchday 31 runs from September 19 to September 20 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is FS Jelgava - Riga: Riga to win at 72%. The tightest match is Tukums - Grobiņa, where no outcome clears 41%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- FK Liepaja 0–0 BFC Daugavpils, September 19: the model's pick was FK Liepaja to win (48%) and it missed.
- FS Jelgava 0–1 Riga, September 19: the model's pick was Riga to win (72%) and it came in.
- Ogre United 1–0 Super Nova, September 20: the model's pick was Super Nova to win (45%) and it missed.
- Tukums 1–1 Grobiņa, September 20: the model's pick was Tukums to win (41%) and it missed.
- Auda 1–1 Rīgas FS, September 20: the model's pick was Rīgas FS to win (59%) and it missed.
Matchday 31 FAQ
When is Virsliga Matchday 31 played?
From September 19 to September 20. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 31?
FS Jelgava - Riga: Riga to win at 72% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.









