Virsliga · 2026
Virsliga Matchday 12 predictions
5 fixtures from May 11 to May 13. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Tuesday, May 12 · 16:00
Every fixture this round
Tuesday, May 12
1X2
Wednesday, May 13
1X2
Virsliga Matchday 12 runs from May 11 to May 13 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is BFC Daugavpils - Rīgas FS: Rīgas FS to win at 66%. The tightest match is Grobiņa - FS Jelgava, where no outcome clears 37%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Grobiņa 0–0 FS Jelgava, May 11: the model's pick was FS Jelgava to win (37%) and it missed.
- Super Nova 1–1 Tukums, May 11: the model's pick was Tukums to win (44%) and it missed.
- FK Liepaja 4–1 Ogre United, May 12: the model's pick was FK Liepaja to win (65%) and it came in.
- Riga 4–1 Auda, May 12: the model's pick was Riga to win (56%) and it came in.
- BFC Daugavpils 0–1 Rīgas FS, May 13: the model's pick was Rīgas FS to win (66%) and it came in.
Matchday 12 FAQ
When is Virsliga Matchday 12 played?
From May 11 to May 13. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 12?
BFC Daugavpils - Rīgas FS: Rīgas FS to win at 66% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.