Virsliga · 2026

Virsliga Matchday 12 predictions

5 fixtures from May 11 to May 13. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Tuesday, May 12 · 16:00

Riga#2

4–1

Auda#3
1 · 56%X · 28%2 · 16%
Riga to win · 56%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Monday, May 11

  1. 0–0
    Grobiņa#8
    FS Jelgava#7
    29%34%37%
  2. 1–1
    Super Nova#6
    Tukums#9
    26%30%44%

Tuesday, May 12

  1. 4–1
    FK Liepaja#4
    Ogre United#10
    65%23%12%
  2. 4–1
    Riga#2
    Auda#3
    56%28%16%

Wednesday, May 13

  1. 0–1
    BFC Daugavpils#5
    Rīgas FS#1
    12%22%66%

Virsliga Matchday 12 runs from May 11 to May 13 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is BFC Daugavpils - Rīgas FS: Rīgas FS to win at 66%. The tightest match is Grobiņa - FS Jelgava, where no outcome clears 37%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

All Virsliga predictions →Virsliga table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 12 FAQ

When is Virsliga Matchday 12 played?

From May 11 to May 13. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 12?

BFC Daugavpils - Rīgas FS: Rīgas FS to win at 66% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.