Virsliga · 2026

Virsliga Matchday 10 predictions

5 fixtures from May 1 to May 3. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Sunday, May 3 · 13:00

Riga#2

1–0

FK Liepaja#4
1 · 38%X · 33%2 · 29%
Riga to win · 38%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Friday, May 1

  1. 5–0
    Tukums#9
    FS Jelgava#7
    31%32%37%
  2. 1–2
    Super Nova#6
    Auda#3
    21%31%48%

Saturday, May 2

  1. 1–1
    Grobiņa#8
    BFC Daugavpils#5
    29%32%39%
  2. 3–4
    Ogre United#10
    Rīgas FS#1
    11%21%68%

Sunday, May 3

  1. 1–0
    Riga#2
    FK Liepaja#4
    38%33%29%

Virsliga Matchday 10 runs from May 1 to May 3 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Ogre United - Rīgas FS: Rīgas FS to win at 68%. The tightest match is Tukums - FS Jelgava, where no outcome clears 37%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

All Virsliga predictions →Virsliga table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 10 FAQ

When is Virsliga Matchday 10 played?

From May 1 to May 3. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 10?

Ogre United - Rīgas FS: Rīgas FS to win at 68% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.