Virsliga · 2026
Virsliga Matchday 25 predictions
5 fixtures from August 1 to October 15. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Thursday, October 15 · 14:00
Every fixture this round
Saturday, August 1
1X2
Sunday, August 2
1X2
Wednesday, September 16
1X2
Thursday, October 15
1X2Virsliga Matchday 25 runs from August 1 to October 15 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Rīgas FS - Super Nova: Rīgas FS to win at 84%. The tightest match is BFC Daugavpils - FS Jelgava, where no outcome clears 46%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- BFC Daugavpils 2–1 FS Jelgava, August 1: the model's pick was BFC Daugavpils to win (46%) and it came in.
- FK Liepaja 2–1 Tukums, August 2: the model's pick was Tukums to win (49%) and it missed.
- Auda 1–0 Ogre United, September 16: the model's pick was Auda to win (71%) and it came in.
- Rīgas FS 4–0 Super Nova, October 15: the model's pick was Rīgas FS to win (84%) and it came in.
Matchday 25 FAQ
When is Virsliga Matchday 25 played?
From August 1 to October 15. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 25?
Rīgas FS - Super Nova: Rīgas FS to win at 84% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.