Virsliga · 2026

Virsliga Matchday 6 predictions

5 fixtures from April 12 to April 14. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Sunday, April 12 · 11:00

Auda#3

2–3

BFC Daugavpils#4
1 · 54%X · 29%2 · 17%
Auda to win · 54%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Sunday, April 12

  1. 2–3
    Auda#3
    BFC Daugavpils#4
    54%29%17%
  2. 1–1
    FK Liepaja#5
    FS Jelgava#7
    53%30%17%

Monday, April 13

  1. 1–2
    Tukums#9
    Rīgas FS#1
    33%33%34%
  2. 1–1
    Ogre United#10
    Grobiņa#8
    33%33%34%

Tuesday, April 14

  1. 1–4
    Super Nova#6
    Riga#2
    8%23%69%

Virsliga Matchday 6 runs from April 12 to April 14 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Super Nova - Riga: Riga to win at 69%. The tightest match is Tukums - Rīgas FS, where no outcome clears 34%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

Match by match

All Virsliga predictions →Virsliga table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 6 FAQ

When is Virsliga Matchday 6 played?

From April 12 to April 14. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 6?

Super Nova - Riga: Riga to win at 69% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.