Virsliga · 2026
Virsliga Matchday 23 predictions
5 fixtures from July 18 to August 25. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Monday, July 20 · 15:00
Every fixture this round
Saturday, July 18
1X2
Sunday, July 19
1X2
Tuesday, August 25
1X2
Virsliga Matchday 23 runs from July 18 to August 25 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Riga - Tukums: Riga to win at 74%. The tightest match is Super Nova - Grobiņa, where no outcome clears 38%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Riga 3–1 Tukums, July 18: the model's pick was Riga to win (74%) and it came in.
- Ogre United 0–4 BFC Daugavpils, July 19: the model's pick was BFC Daugavpils to win (52%) and it came in.
- FS Jelgava 0–1 Rīgas FS, July 20: the model's pick was Rīgas FS to win (67%) and it came in.
- Super Nova 2–0 Grobiņa, July 20: the model's pick was Super Nova to win (38%) and it came in.
- Auda 1–0 FK Liepaja, August 25: the model's pick was Auda to win (50%) and it came in.
Matchday 23 FAQ
When is Virsliga Matchday 23 played?
From July 18 to August 25. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 23?
Riga - Tukums: Riga to win at 74% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.