Virsliga · 2026

Virsliga Matchday 23 predictions

5 fixtures from July 18 to August 25. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Tuesday, August 25 · 16:00

Auda#3

1–0

FK Liepaja#4
1 · 50%X · 30%2 · 20%
Auda to win · 50%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Saturday, July 18

  1. 3–1
    Riga#2
    Tukums#9
    74%19%7%

Sunday, July 19

  1. 0–4
    Ogre United#10
    BFC Daugavpils#5
    18%30%52%

Monday, July 20

  1. 0–1
    FS Jelgava#7
    Rīgas FS#1
    10%23%67%
  2. 2–0
    Super Nova#6
    Grobiņa#8
    38%30%32%

Tuesday, August 25

  1. 1–0
    Auda#3
    FK Liepaja#4
    50%30%20%

Virsliga Matchday 23 runs from July 18 to August 25 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Riga - Tukums: Riga to win at 74%. The tightest match is Super Nova - Grobiņa, where no outcome clears 38%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

All Virsliga predictions →Virsliga table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 23 FAQ

When is Virsliga Matchday 23 played?

From July 18 to August 25. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 23?

Riga - Tukums: Riga to win at 74% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.