Virsliga · 2026
Virsliga Matchday 17 predictions
5 fixtures from June 12 to June 13. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, June 13 · 13:00
Every fixture this round
Virsliga Matchday 17 runs from June 12 to June 13 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Ogre United - Riga: Riga to win at 79%. The tightest match is Tukums - BFC Daugavpils, where no outcome clears 38%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Tukums 1–1 BFC Daugavpils, June 12: the model's pick was BFC Daugavpils to win (38%) and it missed.
- FK Liepaja 2–1 Super Nova, June 12: the model's pick was FK Liepaja to win (55%) and it came in.
- Ogre United 1–4 Riga, June 13: the model's pick was Riga to win (79%) and it came in.
- Grobiņa 1–3 Rīgas FS, June 13: the model's pick was Rīgas FS to win (70%) and it came in.
- Auda 1–1 FS Jelgava, June 13: the model's pick was Auda to win (58%) and it missed.
Matchday 17 FAQ
When is Virsliga Matchday 17 played?
From June 12 to June 13. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 17?
Ogre United - Riga: Riga to win at 79% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.