Virsliga · 2026

Virsliga Matchday 22 predictions

5 fixtures from July 3 to July 6. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Saturday, July 4 · 15:00

Rīgas FS#1

1–1

Auda#3
1 · 59%X · 27%2 · 14%
Rīgas FS to win · 59%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Friday, July 3

  1. 3–0
    Riga#2
    FS Jelgava#7
    71%21%8%

Saturday, July 4

  1. 3–1
    BFC Daugavpils#5
    FK Liepaja#4
    34%29%37%
  2. 1–1
    Rīgas FS#1
    Auda#3
    59%27%14%

Sunday, July 5

  1. 3–1
    Grobiņa#8
    Tukums#9
    39%30%31%

Monday, July 6

  1. 1–2
    Super Nova#6
    Ogre United#10
    53%29%18%

Virsliga Matchday 22 runs from July 3 to July 6 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Riga - FS Jelgava: Riga to win at 71%. The tightest match is BFC Daugavpils - FK Liepaja, where no outcome clears 37%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

All Virsliga predictions →Virsliga table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 22 FAQ

When is Virsliga Matchday 22 played?

From July 3 to July 6. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 22?

Riga - FS Jelgava: Riga to win at 71% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.