Virsliga · 2026
Virsliga Matchday 13 predictions
5 fixtures from May 15 to May 17. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, May 17 · 14:00
Every fixture this round
Friday, May 15
1X2
Virsliga Matchday 13 runs from May 15 to May 17 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Riga - FS Jelgava: Riga to win at 76%. The tightest match is Grobiņa - Tukums, where no outcome clears 43%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Grobiņa 3–3 Tukums, May 15: the model's pick was Tukums to win (43%) and it missed.
- Super Nova 3–1 Ogre United, May 16: the model's pick was Super Nova to win (49%) and it came in.
- Riga 2–2 FS Jelgava, May 16: the model's pick was Riga to win (76%) and it missed.
- Auda 0–3 Rīgas FS, May 17: the model's pick was Rīgas FS to win (53%) and it came in.
- FK Liepaja 2–1 BFC Daugavpils, May 17: the model's pick was FK Liepaja to win (52%) and it came in.
Matchday 13 FAQ
When is Virsliga Matchday 13 played?
From May 15 to May 17. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 13?
Riga - FS Jelgava: Riga to win at 76% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.