Virsliga · 2026

Virsliga Matchday 5 predictions

5 fixtures from April 7 to April 9. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Wednesday, April 8 · 15:00

FK Liepaja#4

1–2

Auda#3
1 · 28%X · 28%2 · 44%
Auda to win · 44%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Tuesday, April 7

  1. 2–1
    BFC Daugavpils#5
    Ogre United#10
    55%28%17%

Wednesday, April 8

  1. 1–2
    FK Liepaja#4
    Auda#3
    28%28%44%
  2. 0–1
    FS Jelgava#7
    Rīgas FS#1
    10%24%66%

Thursday, April 9

  1. 0–1
    Grobiņa#8
    Super Nova#6
    38%28%34%
  2. 3–3
    Riga#2
    Tukums#9
    72%20%8%

Virsliga Matchday 5 runs from April 7 to April 9 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Riga - Tukums: Riga to win at 72%. The tightest match is Grobiņa - Super Nova, where no outcome clears 38%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

All Virsliga predictions →Virsliga table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 5 FAQ

When is Virsliga Matchday 5 played?

From April 7 to April 9. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 5?

Riga - Tukums: Riga to win at 72% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.