Virsliga · 2026
Virsliga Matchday 5 predictions
5 fixtures from April 7 to April 9. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Wednesday, April 8 · 15:00
Every fixture this round
Tuesday, April 7
1X2
Wednesday, April 8
1X2
Thursday, April 9
1X2
Virsliga Matchday 5 runs from April 7 to April 9 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Riga - Tukums: Riga to win at 72%. The tightest match is Grobiņa - Super Nova, where no outcome clears 38%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- BFC Daugavpils 2–1 Ogre United, April 7: the model's pick was BFC Daugavpils to win (55%) and it came in.
- FK Liepaja 1–2 Auda, April 8: the model's pick was Auda to win (44%) and it came in.
- FS Jelgava 0–1 Rīgas FS, April 8: the model's pick was Rīgas FS to win (66%) and it came in.
- Grobiņa 0–1 Super Nova, April 9: the model's pick was Grobiņa to win (38%) and it missed.
- Riga 3–3 Tukums, April 9: the model's pick was Riga to win (72%) and it missed.
Matchday 5 FAQ
When is Virsliga Matchday 5 played?
From April 7 to April 9. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 5?
Riga - Tukums: Riga to win at 72% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.