Virsliga · 2026

Virsliga Matchday 16 predictions

5 fixtures from May 29 to May 31. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Friday, May 29 · 17:00

Super Nova#6

1–2

Rīgas FS#1
1 · 8%X · 21%2 · 71%
Rīgas FS to win · 71%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Friday, May 29

  1. 2–0
    Riga#2
    Grobiņa#8
    76%18%6%
  2. 1–2
    Super Nova#6
    Rīgas FS#1
    8%21%71%

Saturday, May 30

  1. 3–0
    FK Liepaja#4
    Tukums#9
    51%29%20%
  2. 2–0
    Auda#3
    Ogre United#10
    70%22%8%

Sunday, May 31

  1. 1–1
    FS Jelgava#7
    BFC Daugavpils#5
    31%32%37%

Virsliga Matchday 16 runs from May 29 to May 31 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Riga - Grobiņa: Riga to win at 76%. The tightest match is FS Jelgava - BFC Daugavpils, where no outcome clears 37%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

All Virsliga predictions →Virsliga table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 16 FAQ

When is Virsliga Matchday 16 played?

From May 29 to May 31. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 16?

Riga - Grobiņa: Riga to win at 76% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.