Virsliga · 2026
Virsliga Matchday 16 predictions
5 fixtures from May 29 to May 31. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Friday, May 29 · 17:00
Every fixture this round
Saturday, May 30
1X2
Sunday, May 31
1X2
Virsliga Matchday 16 runs from May 29 to May 31 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Riga - Grobiņa: Riga to win at 76%. The tightest match is FS Jelgava - BFC Daugavpils, where no outcome clears 37%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Riga 2–0 Grobiņa, May 29: the model's pick was Riga to win (76%) and it came in.
- Super Nova 1–2 Rīgas FS, May 29: the model's pick was Rīgas FS to win (71%) and it came in.
- FK Liepaja 3–0 Tukums, May 30: the model's pick was FK Liepaja to win (51%) and it came in.
- Auda 2–0 Ogre United, May 30: the model's pick was Auda to win (70%) and it came in.
- FS Jelgava 1–1 BFC Daugavpils, May 31: the model's pick was BFC Daugavpils to win (37%) and it missed.
Matchday 16 FAQ
When is Virsliga Matchday 16 played?
From May 29 to May 31. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 16?
Riga - Grobiņa: Riga to win at 76% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.