Virsliga · 2026
Virsliga Matchday 14 predictions
5 fixtures from May 20 to May 22. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Thursday, May 21 · 17:00
Every fixture this round
Wednesday, May 20
1X2
Thursday, May 21
1X2
Friday, May 22
1X2
Virsliga Matchday 14 runs from May 20 to May 22 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Rīgas FS - FS Jelgava: Rīgas FS to win at 74%. The tightest match is Grobiņa - Super Nova, where no outcome clears 37%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Tukums 1–3 Riga, May 20: the model's pick was Riga to win (65%) and it came in.
- Grobiņa 0–2 Super Nova, May 20: the model's pick was Super Nova to win (37%) and it came in.
- BFC Daugavpils 3–1 Ogre United, May 21: the model's pick was BFC Daugavpils to win (56%) and it came in.
- Rīgas FS 4–0 FS Jelgava, May 21: the model's pick was Rīgas FS to win (74%) and it came in.
- Auda 3–1 FK Liepaja, May 22: the model's pick was Auda to win (44%) and it came in.
Matchday 14 FAQ
When is Virsliga Matchday 14 played?
From May 20 to May 22. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 14?
Rīgas FS - FS Jelgava: Rīgas FS to win at 74% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.