Virsliga · 2026
Virsliga Matchday 33 predictions
5 fixtures from October 17 to October 19. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, October 18 · 13:00
Every fixture this round
Saturday, October 17
1X2
Sunday, October 18
1X2
Virsliga Matchday 33 runs from October 17 to October 19 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Rīgas FS - Tukums: Rīgas FS to win at 82%. The tightest match is BFC Daugavpils - Auda, where no outcome clears 50%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Grobiņa vs Ogre United, October 17: the model's pick is Grobiņa to win (56%).
- FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava, October 18: the model's pick is FK Liepaja to win (54%).
- Riga vs Super Nova, October 18: the model's pick is Riga to win (75%).
- BFC Daugavpils vs Auda, October 19: the model's pick is Auda to win (50%).
- Rīgas FS vs Tukums, October 19: the model's pick is Rīgas FS to win (82%).
Matchday 33 FAQ
When is Virsliga Matchday 33 played?
From October 17 to October 19. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 33?
Rīgas FS - Tukums: Rīgas FS to win at 82% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.