Virsliga · 2026

Virsliga Matchday 33 predictions

5 fixtures from October 17 to October 19. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Monday, October 19 · 15:00

BFC Daugavpils#4

2–1

Auda#3
1 · 26%X · 30%2 · 44%
Auda to win · 44%Full analysis

Every fixture this round

Saturday, October 17

  1. 3–2
    Grobiņa#8
    Ogre United#10
    51%30%19%

Sunday, October 18

  1. 3–0
    FK Liepaja#5
    FS Jelgava#7
    43%32%25%
  2. 2–1
    Riga#2
    Super Nova#6
    84%12%4%

Monday, October 19

  1. 2–1
    BFC Daugavpils#4
    Auda#3
    26%30%44%
  2. 2–0
    Rīgas FS#1
    Tukums#9
    85%12%3%

Virsliga Matchday 33 runs from October 17 to October 19 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Rīgas FS - Tukums: Rīgas FS to win at 85%. The tightest match is FK Liepaja - FS Jelgava, where no outcome clears 43%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

Match by match

All Virsliga predictions Virsliga table Who will win? Title odds

Matchday 33 FAQ

When is Virsliga Matchday 33 played?

From October 17 to October 19. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 33?

Rīgas FS - Tukums: Rīgas FS to win at 85% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.