Virsliga · 2026

Virsliga Matchday 9 predictions

5 fixtures from April 26 to April 28. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Tuesday, April 28 · 17:00

Rīgas FS#1

3–3

Riga#2
1 · 37%X · 30%2 · 33%
Rīgas FS to win · 37%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Sunday, April 26

  1. 2–1
    Auda#3
    Tukums#9
    38%33%29%

Monday, April 27

  1. 0–1
    BFC Daugavpils#5
    Super Nova#6
    46%32%22%
  2. 0–1
    Ogre United#10
    FS Jelgava#7
    31%31%38%

Tuesday, April 28

  1. 1–1
    FK Liepaja#4
    Grobiņa#8
    38%33%29%
  2. 3–3
    Rīgas FS#1
    Riga#2
    37%30%33%

Virsliga Matchday 9 runs from April 26 to April 28 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is BFC Daugavpils - Super Nova: BFC Daugavpils to win at 46%. The tightest match is Rīgas FS - Riga, where no outcome clears 37%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

All Virsliga predictions →Virsliga table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 9 FAQ

When is Virsliga Matchday 9 played?

From April 26 to April 28. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 9?

BFC Daugavpils - Super Nova: BFC Daugavpils to win at 46% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.