Virsliga · 2026

Virsliga Matchday 4 predictions

5 fixtures from April 3 to April 5. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Saturday, April 4 · 11:00

Rīgas FS#1

0–1

Auda#3
1 · 61%X · 27%2 · 12%
Rīgas FS to win · 61%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Friday, April 3

  1. 1–2
    Ogre United#10
    Super Nova#6
    26%28%46%
  2. 2–0
    BFC Daugavpils#5
    FK Liepaja#4
    20%25%55%

Saturday, April 4

  1. 0–1
    Rīgas FS#1
    Auda#3
    61%27%12%
  2. 0–8
    FS Jelgava#7
    Riga#2
    12%28%60%

Sunday, April 5

  1. 1–1
    Tukums#9
    Grobiņa#8
    25%35%40%

Virsliga Matchday 4 runs from April 3 to April 5 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Rīgas FS - Auda: Rīgas FS to win at 61%. The tightest match is Tukums - Grobiņa, where no outcome clears 40%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

All Virsliga predictions →Virsliga table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 4 FAQ

When is Virsliga Matchday 4 played?

From April 3 to April 5. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 4?

Rīgas FS - Auda: Rīgas FS to win at 61% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.