Virsliga · 2026

Virsliga Matchday 28 predictions

5 fixtures from August 29 to August 31. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Monday, August 31 · 14:30

FK Liepaja#5

3–2

Riga#2
1 · 13%X · 23%2 · 64%
Riga to win · 64%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Saturday, August 29

  1. 1–0
    Grobiņa#8
    BFC Daugavpils#4
    24%31%45%
  2. 1–4
    Tukums#9
    FS Jelgava#7
    33%29%38%
  3. 1–1
    Auda#3
    Super Nova#6
    64%23%13%

Sunday, August 30

  1. 0–3
    Ogre United#10
    Rīgas FS#1
    5%13%82%

Monday, August 31

  1. 3–2
    FK Liepaja#5
    Riga#2
    13%23%64%

Virsliga Matchday 28 runs from August 29 to August 31 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Ogre United - Rīgas FS: Rīgas FS to win at 82%. The tightest match is Tukums - FS Jelgava, where no outcome clears 38%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

Match by match

All Virsliga predictions →Virsliga table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 28 FAQ

When is Virsliga Matchday 28 played?

From August 29 to August 31. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 28?

Ogre United - Rīgas FS: Rīgas FS to win at 82% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.