Virsliga · 2026
Virsliga Matchday 18 predictions
5 fixtures from June 16 to June 17. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Wednesday, June 17 · 16:00
Every fixture this round
Virsliga Matchday 18 runs from June 16 to June 17 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is FS Jelgava - Ogre United: FS Jelgava to win at 58%. The tightest match is Grobiņa - FK Liepaja, where no outcome clears 34%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- BFC Daugavpils 0–0 Super Nova, June 16: the model's pick was BFC Daugavpils to win (41%) and it missed.
- Grobiņa 1–0 FK Liepaja, June 16: the model's pick was FK Liepaja to win (34%) and it missed.
- Tukums 2–1 Auda, June 17: the model's pick was Auda to win (50%) and it missed.
- FS Jelgava 0–2 Ogre United, June 17: the model's pick was FS Jelgava to win (58%) and it missed.
- Riga 2–1 Rīgas FS, June 17: the model's pick was Riga to win (39%) and it came in.
Matchday 18 FAQ
When is Virsliga Matchday 18 played?
From June 16 to June 17. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 18?
FS Jelgava - Ogre United: FS Jelgava to win at 58% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.