Who Will Win National League?
2,000 season simulations · 552 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the National League 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Boreham Wood wins National League in 98.1% of 2,000 season simulations.
Harrogate Town — 1.8% title chance.
Gateshead goes down in 99.7% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 14 | 38 | 98.1% | 100% | <0.1% | 110 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 14 | 31 | 1.8% | 95.2% | <0.1% | 93 |
| 3 |  Southend | 14 | 28 | 0.2% | 73.1% | <0.1% | 86 |
| 4 |  Worthing | 14 | 27 | <0.1% | 52.2% | <0.1% | 83 |
| 5 |  Altrincham | 14 | 27 | <0.1% | 33.1% | <0.1% | 80 |
| 6 |  Yeovil Town | 14 | 25 | <0.1% | 35% | <0.1% | 80 |
| 7 |  AFC Fylde | 14 | 23 | <0.1% | 3.9% | <0.1% | 72 |
| 8 |  Barrow | 13 | 21 | <0.1% | 5.6% | <0.1% | 72 |
| 9 |  FC Halifax Town | 14 | 21 | <0.1% | 1.1% | <0.1% | 69 |
| 10 |  AFC Hornchurch | 14 | 21 | <0.1% | 0.3% | <0.1% | 66 |
| 11 |  Carlisle | 14 | 20 | <0.1% | 0.3% | <0.1% | 66 |
| 12 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 14 | 20 | <0.1% | 0.3% | <0.1% | 66 |
| 13 |  Woking | 14 | 18 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 61 |
| 14 |  Aldershot Town | 14 | 18 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.3% | 61 |
| 15 |  Eastleigh | 14 | 18 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 59 |
| 16 |  Sutton Utd | 14 | 18 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.5% | 59 |
| 17 |  Forest Green | 12 | 15 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.8% | 58 |
| 18 |  Wealdstone | 14 | 15 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 5.3% | 52 |
| 19 |  Hartlepool | 14 | 15 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 5% | 52 |
| 20 |  Tamworth | 13 | 14 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 7.1% | 51 |
| 21 |  Boston United | 14 | 12 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 35.6% | 45 |
| 22 |  Scunthorpe | 13 | 10 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 47.4% | 43 |
| 23 |  Solihull Moors | 14 | 7 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 98% | 32 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 13 | 4 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 99.7% | 26 |
Next National League fixtures — with AI predictions
- Woking – Boreham WoodTue, Oct 27AI prediction →
- AFC Fylde – HartlepoolTue, Oct 27AI prediction →
- FC Halifax Town – BarrowTue, Oct 27AI prediction →
- Altrincham – Kidderminster HarriersTue, Oct 27AI prediction →
- AFC Hornchurch – Yeovil TownTue, Oct 27AI prediction →
- Tamworth – ScunthorpeTue, Oct 27AI prediction →
- Worthing – SouthendTue, Oct 27AI prediction →
- Boston United – GatesheadTue, Oct 27AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining National League fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win National League in 2026/27?
Boreham Wood wins National League in 98.1% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.