Who Will Win Chile Primera División?
2,000 season simulations · 24 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Primera División 2026 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Colo Colo wins Primera División in 99.7% of 2,000 season simulations.
Universidad de Chile — 0.3% title chance.
Union La Calera goes down in 99.3% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Colo Colo | 26 | 58 | 99.7% | 100% | <0.1% | 66 |
| 2 |  Universidad de Chile | 26 | 48 | 0.3% | 99.9% | <0.1% | 55 |
| 3 |  U. Catolica | 26 | 46 | <0.1% | 95% | <0.1% | 52 |
| 4 |  Everton de Vina | 26 | 40 | <0.1% | 42.1% | <0.1% | 47 |
| 5 |  Deportes Limache | 26 | 40 | <0.1% | 32.2% | <0.1% | 46 |
| 6 |  Palestino | 26 | 38 | <0.1% | 14.4% | <0.1% | 44 |
| 7 |  Coquimbo Unido | 25 | 35 | <0.1% | 11.4% | <0.1% | 42 |
| 8 |  Concepción | 26 | 35 | <0.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 40 |
| 9 |  Nublense | 26 | 35 | <0.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 40 |
| 10 |  Huachipato | 25 | 33 | <0.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 40 |
| 11 |  D. La Serena | 26 | 34 | <0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 38 |
| 12 |  O'Higgins | 26 | 31 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 9.7% | 36 |
| 13 |  A. Italiano | 26 | 30 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 18.1% | 35 |
| 14 |  Cobresal | 26 | 27 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 75.1% | 31 |
| 15 |  Universidad de Concepcion | 26 | 23 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 95.5% | 28 |
| 16 |  Union La Calera | 26 | 21 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 99.3% | 26 |
Next Primera División fixtures — with AI predictions
- Universidad de Concepcion – O'HigginsThu, Nov 5AI prediction →
- Universidad de Chile – CobresalSun, Nov 8AI prediction →
- Everton de Vina – ConcepciónSun, Nov 8AI prediction →
- Union La Calera – HuachipatoSun, Nov 8AI prediction →
- A. Italiano – Coquimbo UnidoSun, Nov 8AI prediction →
- Nublense – Colo ColoSun, Nov 8AI prediction →
- D. La Serena – PalestinoSun, Nov 8AI prediction →
- U. Catolica – Deportes LimacheSun, Nov 8AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Primera División fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Primera División in 2026?
Colo Colo wins Primera División in 99.7% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.