Who Will Win NB I?
2,000 season simulations · 132 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the NB I 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Ferencvarosi TC wins NB I in 38.3% of 2,000 season simulations.
Gyori ETO FC — 24.9% title chance.
Zalaegerszegi TE goes down in 88.4% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 6 | 11 | 38.3% | 85.9% | 0.2% | 39 |
| 2 |  Gyori ETO FC | 7 | 12 | 24.9% | 80.1% | 0.5% | 37 |
| 3 |  Puskas Academy | 7 | 12 | 15.9% | 71.5% | 0.6% | 36 |
| 4 |  Vasas | 7 | 11 | 9.3% | 57.1% | 1.4% | 35 |
| 5 |  Ujpest | 7 | 11 | 8% | 53.8% | 1.5% | 34 |
| 6 |  Kisvarda FC | 7 | 9 | 1.6% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 29 |
| 7 |  MTK Budapest | 7 | 9 | 1.3% | 18.6% | 13.3% | 30 |
| 8 |  Debreceni VSC | 7 | 9 | 0.9% | 12.3% | 17.6% | 29 |
| 9 |  Paks | 7 | 8 | 0.1% | 3.8% | 36.4% | 26 |
| 10 |  Budapest Honved | 6 | 6 | <0.1% | 2% | 55.8% | 24 |
| 11 |  Nyiregyhaza | 7 | 7 | <0.1% | 0.8% | 67.9% | 23 |
| 12 |  Zalaegerszegi TE | 7 | 6 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 88.4% | 20 |
Next NB I fixtures — with AI predictions
- Puskas Academy – Budapest HonvedFri, Sep 18AI prediction →
- Kisvarda FC – PaksSat, Sep 19AI prediction →
- Debreceni VSC – VasasSat, Sep 19AI prediction →
- Ujpest – Zalaegerszegi TESun, Sep 20AI prediction →
- MTK Budapest – Gyori ETO FCSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
- Nyiregyhaza – Ferencvarosi TCSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
- Vasas – Kisvarda FCSat, Oct 10AI prediction →
- Ferencvarosi TC – Debreceni VSCSat, Oct 10AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining NB I fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win NB I in 2026/27?
Ferencvarosi TC wins NB I in 38.3% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.