Who Will Win National League North?
2,000 season simulations · 552 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the National League North 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Hereford wins National League North in 35.3% of 2,000 season simulations.
Macclesfield — 31.8% title chance.
Spennymoor Town goes down in 89.5% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hereford | 11 | 23 | 35.3% | 95.6% | <0.1% | 91 |
| 2 |  Macclesfield | 11 | 24 | 31.8% | 95.9% | <0.1% | 90 |
| 3 |  Oxford City | 11 | 23 | 29.9% | 93.9% | <0.1% | 90 |
| 4 |  Chester | 11 | 20 | 1.4% | 44.6% | <0.1% | 78 |
| 5 |  South Shields | 11 | 20 | 1.3% | 30.7% | <0.1% | 76 |
| 6 |  King's Lynn Town | 12 | 20 | 0.4% | 16.9% | <0.1% | 74 |
| 7 |  Chorley | 11 | 17 | 0.1% | 4.6% | <0.1% | 68 |
| 8 |  Spalding United | 11 | 17 | <0.1% | 9.1% | 0.2% | 70 |
| 9 |  Hednesford Town | 12 | 18 | <0.1% | 3.4% | 0.1% | 67 |
| 10 |  Hebburn Town | 12 | 18 | <0.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 65 |
| 11 |  Bedford Town | 11 | 16 | <0.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 65 |
| 12 |  Buxton | 12 | 17 | <0.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 64 |
| 13 |  Marine | 11 | 15 | <0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 63 |
| 14 |  Harborough Town | 11 | 15 | <0.1% | 1% | 0.3% | 62 |
| 15 |  Morecambe | 11 | 14 | <0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 62 |
| 16 |  Worksop Town | 12 | 16 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 60 |
| 17 |  Scarborough Athletic | 12 | 15 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 60 |
| 18 |  Merthyr Town | 12 | 15 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 1% | 60 |
| 19 |  Brackley Town | 12 | 15 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 3% | 56 |
| 20 |  Radcliffe | 12 | 12 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 18.1% | 50 |
| 21 |  AFC Telford United | 12 | 12 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 22.1% | 49 |
| 22 |  Southport | 12 | 9 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 76.2% | 41 |
| 23 |  Darlington 1883 | 12 | 8 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 85.7% | 39 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 11 | 7 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 89.5% | 38 |
Next National League North fixtures — with AI predictions
- Macclesfield – HerefordSat, Oct 24AI prediction →
- Chorley – BuxtonSat, Oct 24AI prediction →
- AFC Telford United – Hebburn TownSat, Oct 24AI prediction →
- Brackley Town – RadcliffeSat, Oct 24AI prediction →
- Marine – Oxford CitySat, Oct 24AI prediction →
- Hednesford Town – Spalding UnitedSat, Oct 24AI prediction →
- Merthyr Town – MorecambeSat, Oct 24AI prediction →
- Scarborough Athletic – Bedford TownSat, Oct 24AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining National League North fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win National League North in 2026/27?
Hereford wins National League North in 35.3% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.