Who Will Win Ligat Ha'al?
2,000 season simulations · 182 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Ligat Ha'al 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Maccabi Tel Aviv wins Ligat Ha'al in 52.7% of 2,000 season simulations.
Hapoel Tel Aviv — 25.3% title chance.
Ironi Tiberias goes down in 90.3% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maccabi Tel Aviv | 8 | 20 | 52.7% | 98.7% | <0.1% | 59 |
| 2 |  Hapoel Tel Aviv | 8 | 19 | 25.3% | 96.2% | <0.1% | 57 |
| 3 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 8 | 19 | 14.6% | 91.9% | <0.1% | 55 |
| 4 |  Maccabi Haifa | 8 | 18 | 6.9% | 81.4% | <0.1% | 53 |
| 5 |  Beitar Jerusalem | 8 | 16 | 0.6% | 31.5% | <0.1% | 48 |
| 6 |  Bnei Sakhnin | 8 | 11 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 36 |
| 7 |  Maccabi Netanya | 8 | 10 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 35 |
| 8 |  Maccabi Petah Tikva | 8 | 9 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 1.4% | 31 |
| 9 |  Hapoel Haifa | 8 | 9 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 1.2% | 31 |
| 10 |  Hapoel Katamon | 8 | 7 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 12.7% | 26 |
| 11 |  Hapoel Ramat Gan | 8 | 6 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 26.8% | 24 |
| 12 |  Hapoel Petah Tikva | 8 | 4 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 80.7% | 18 |
| 13 |  Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 8 | 3 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 86.8% | 17 |
| 14 |  Ironi Tiberias | 8 | 2 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 90.3% | 16 |
Next Ligat Ha'al fixtures — with AI predictions
- Hapoel Haifa – Hapoel Petah TikvaSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Bnei Sakhnin – Ironi TiberiasSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Maccabi Netanya – Hapoel KatamonSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Maccabi Petah Tikva – Hapoel Beer ShevaSun, Nov 1AI prediction →
- Hapoel Ramat Gan – Maccabi Tel AvivMon, Nov 2AI prediction →
- Hapoel Tel Aviv – Maccabi HaifaMon, Nov 2AI prediction →
- Hapoel Beer Sheva – Hapoel Tel AvivSat, Nov 7AI prediction →
- Maccabi Tel Aviv – Maccabi Petah TikvaSat, Nov 7AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Ligat Ha'al fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Ligat Ha'al in 2026/27?
Maccabi Tel Aviv wins Ligat Ha'al in 52.7% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.