Who Will Win Ligat Ha'al?
2,000 season simulations · 182 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Ligat Ha'al 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Maccabi Tel Aviv wins Ligat Ha'al in 77.3% of 2,000 season simulations.
Hapoel Tel Aviv — 17.3% title chance.
Hapoel Ramat Gan goes down in 86% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maccabi Tel Aviv | 3 | 9 | 77.3% | 99.6% | <0.1% | 58 |
| 2 |  Hapoel Tel Aviv | 3 | 7 | 17.3% | 93.7% | <0.1% | 51 |
| 3 |  Maccabi Petah Tikva | 3 | 6 | 2.4% | 58.3% | 0.1% | 44 |
| 4 |  Maccabi Haifa | 3 | 6 | 1.3% | 53.2% | 0.2% | 43 |
| 5 |  Maccabi Netanya | 3 | 5 | 1% | 40.8% | 0.2% | 42 |
| 6 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | 7 | 0.9% | 41.8% | 0.2% | 42 |
| 7 |  Hapoel Haifa | 3 | 3 | <0.1% | 4% | 9.9% | 33 |
| 8 |  Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 3 | 3 | <0.1% | 3.4% | 11.4% | 32 |
| 9 |  Hapoel Katamon | 3 | 3 | <0.1% | 3.1% | 12.3% | 32 |
| 10 |  Beitar Jerusalem | 3 | 3 | <0.1% | 1.9% | 19.9% | 30 |
| 11 |  Hapoel Petah Tikva | 4 | 3 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 37% | 27 |
| 12 |  Bnei Sakhnin | 3 | 1 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 54% | 25 |
| 13 |  Ironi Tiberias | 3 | 0 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 69.1% | 23 |
| 14 |  Hapoel Ramat Gan | 3 | 0 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 86% | 20 |
Next Ligat Ha'al fixtures — with AI predictions
- Ironi Tiberias – Hapoel KatamonTue, Sep 15AI prediction →
- Beitar Jerusalem – Maccabi Petah TikvaTue, Sep 15AI prediction →
- Hapoel Beer Sheva – Ironi Kiryat ShmonaSat, Sep 19AI prediction →
- Beitar Jerusalem – Hapoel HaifaSat, Sep 19AI prediction →
- Maccabi Haifa – Ironi TiberiasSat, Sep 19AI prediction →
- Bnei Sakhnin – Hapoel Ramat GanSat, Sep 19AI prediction →
- Maccabi Petah Tikva – Hapoel KatamonSat, Sep 19AI prediction →
- Hapoel Tel Aviv – Hapoel Petah TikvaSat, Sep 19AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Ligat Ha'al fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Ligat Ha'al in 2026/27?
Maccabi Tel Aviv wins Ligat Ha'al in 77.3% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.