Who Will Win Mineiro?
2,000 season simulations · 132 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Mineiro 2026 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Cruzeiro wins Mineiro in 41.6% of 2,000 season simulations.
America Mineiro — 28.5% title chance.
Itabirito goes down in 80.8% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cruzeiro | 8 | 15 | 41.6% | 93.9% | <0.1% | 40 |
| 2 |  America Mineiro | 8 | 15 | 28.5% | 90.9% | <0.1% | 39 |
| 3 |  Atletico-MG | 8 | 14 | 22% | 85% | <0.1% | 38 |
| 4 |  Pouso Alegre | 8 | 13 | 3.7% | 50.4% | 0.6% | 34 |
| 5 |  Tombense | 8 | 12 | 2.5% | 38.8% | 1.3% | 33 |
| 6 |  North Esporte | 8 | 11 | 1% | 20.4% | 3.4% | 31 |
| 7 |  Uniao Trabalhadores | 8 | 11 | 0.8% | 16.4% | 3.9% | 30 |
| 8 |  Uberlandia | 8 | 9 | 0.1% | 1.6% | 30.2% | 26 |
| 9 |  Betim | 8 | 9 | 0.1% | 2.2% | 27.7% | 26 |
| 10 |  Democrata GV | 8 | 7 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 73.6% | 22 |
| 11 |  Athletic Club | 8 | 7 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 78.8% | 21 |
| 12 |  Itabirito | 8 | 7 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 80.8% | 21 |
Methodology
Every remaining Mineiro fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Mineiro in 2026?
Cruzeiro wins Mineiro in 41.6% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.