Who Will Win Ligue 2?
2,000 season simulations · 306 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Ligue 2 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Saint Etienne wins Ligue 2 in 60.7% of 2,000 season simulations.
Montpellier — 33.1% title chance.
Grenoble goes down in 74% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint Etienne | 11 | 25 | 60.7% | 98.6% | <0.1% | 71 |
| 2 |  Montpellier | 11 | 24 | 33.1% | 97.7% | <0.1% | 69 |
| 3 |  Nancy | 10 | 19 | 2.6% | 63.4% | <0.1% | 60 |
| 4 |  Reims | 10 | 18 | 2% | 56.8% | <0.1% | 60 |
| 5 |  PAU | 11 | 20 | 1.4% | 53.3% | <0.1% | 59 |
| 6 |  RED Star FC 93 | 10 | 17 | 0.3% | 24.3% | <0.1% | 55 |
| 7 |  Annecy | 11 | 16 | 0.1% | 3% | 0.4% | 49 |
| 8 |  Dijon | 11 | 15 | <0.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 47 |
| 9 |  Guingamp | 11 | 14 | <0.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 45 |
| 10 |  Metz | 11 | 14 | <0.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 45 |
| 11 |  Rodez | 11 | 13 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 4.8% | 41 |
| 12 |  Dunkerque | 11 | 12 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 9.3% | 40 |
| 13 |  Sochaux | 10 | 11 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 10.7% | 40 |
| 14 |  Boulogne | 11 | 10 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 25.8% | 36 |
| 15 |  Nantes | 11 | 9 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 50.5% | 33 |
| 16 |  Laval | 11 | 9 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 54.8% | 33 |
| 17 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 8 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 67.2% | 31 |
| 18 |  Grenoble | 11 | 8 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 74% | 30 |
Next Ligue 2 fixtures — with AI predictions
- Montpellier – MetzFri, Nov 6AI prediction →
- Dijon – RED Star FC 93Fri, Nov 6AI prediction →
- Clermont Foot – RodezFri, Nov 6AI prediction →
- Grenoble – ReimsFri, Nov 6AI prediction →
- Nancy – SochauxFri, Nov 6AI prediction →
- Saint Etienne – LavalFri, Nov 6AI prediction →
- PAU – NantesFri, Nov 6AI prediction →
- Boulogne – AnnecyFri, Nov 6AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Ligue 2 fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Ligue 2 in 2026/27?
Saint Etienne wins Ligue 2 in 60.7% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.