Who Will Win Ligi Kuu Bara?
2,000 season simulations · 240 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Ligi Kuu Bara 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Young Africans wins Ligi Kuu Bara in 66.5% of 2,000 season simulations.
Simba — 32.3% title chance.
Kagera Sugar goes down in 93.8% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Young Africans | 5 | 15 | 66.5% | 100% | <0.1% | 75 |
| 2 |  Simba | 5 | 15 | 32.3% | 100% | <0.1% | 72 |
| 3 |  Azam | 6 | 14 | 1.2% | 95.5% | <0.1% | 62 |
| 4 |  Mbeya City | 5 | 10 | 0.1% | 71.4% | <0.1% | 55 |
| 5 |  Singida Black Stars | 6 | 10 | 0.1% | 18.6% | <0.1% | 49 |
| 6 |  Mashujaa | 6 | 9 | <0.1% | 4.4% | 0.1% | 44 |
| 7 |  Geita Gold | 5 | 7 | <0.1% | 4% | 0.1% | 43 |
| 8 |  Polisi Tanzania | 5 | 7 | <0.1% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 42 |
| 9 |  Dodoma Jiji | 5 | 7 | <0.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 42 |
| 10 |  JKT Tanzania | 5 | 7 | <0.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 41 |
| 11 |  Namungo | 6 | 6 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 6.3% | 33 |
| 12 |  Coastal Union | 5 | 4 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 19.3% | 30 |
| 13 |  Tabora United | 5 | 3 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 31.1% | 27 |
| 14 |  Fountain Gate | 5 | 3 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 57.9% | 25 |
| 15 |  Pamba Jiji | 5 | 1 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 91.1% | 18 |
| 16 |  Kagera Sugar | 5 | 1 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 93.8% | 18 |
Next Ligi Kuu Bara fixtures — with AI predictions
- Polisi Tanzania – Mbeya CitySat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Coastal Union – JKT TanzaniaSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Pamba Jiji – Tabora UnitedSun, Sep 13AI prediction →
- Kagera Sugar – Fountain GateSun, Sep 13AI prediction →
- Young Africans – Geita GoldTue, Sep 15AI prediction →
- Azam – SimbaWed, Sep 16AI prediction →
- Mashujaa – Polisi TanzaniaThu, Oct 8AI prediction →
- Pamba Jiji – Geita GoldThu, Oct 8AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Ligi Kuu Bara fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Ligi Kuu Bara in 2026/27?
Young Africans wins Ligi Kuu Bara in 66.5% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.