Who Will Win Ligi Kuu Bara?
2,000 season simulations · 240 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Ligi Kuu Bara 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Simba wins Ligi Kuu Bara in 93.1% of 2,000 season simulations.
Young Africans — 6.7% title chance.
Fountain Gate goes down in 75.7% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Simba | 8 | 24 | 93.1% | 100% | <0.1% | 76 |
| 2 |  Young Africans | 9 | 22 | 6.7% | 99.9% | <0.1% | 66 |
| 3 |  Azam | 8 | 17 | 0.2% | 96% | <0.1% | 58 |
| 4 |  JKT Tanzania | 10 | 17 | <0.1% | 40.6% | <0.1% | 48 |
| 5 |  Dodoma Jiji | 9 | 15 | <0.1% | 42% | <0.1% | 48 |
| 6 |  Singida Black Stars | 8 | 11 | <0.1% | 8.9% | 0.3% | 42 |
| 7 |  Polisi Tanzania | 9 | 12 | <0.1% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 41 |
| 8 |  Namungo | 9 | 12 | <0.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 40 |
| 9 |  Mashujaa | 9 | 12 | <0.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 39 |
| 10 |  Mbeya City | 8 | 10 | <0.1% | 2% | 2% | 39 |
| 11 |  Coastal Union | 9 | 10 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 10% | 35 |
| 12 |  Tabora United | 8 | 7 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 27.3% | 31 |
| 13 |  Geita Gold | 9 | 8 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 36.6% | 30 |
| 14 |  Pamba Jiji | 9 | 6 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 70.4% | 26 |
| 15 |  Kagera Sugar | 9 | 6 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 75.2% | 25 |
| 16 |  Fountain Gate | 9 | 6 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 75.7% | 25 |
Next Ligi Kuu Bara fixtures — with AI predictions
- Fountain Gate – SimbaWed, Oct 28AI prediction →
- Azam – Mbeya CityWed, Oct 28AI prediction →
- Coastal Union – Kagera SugarWed, Oct 28AI prediction →
- Pamba Jiji – Singida Black StarsThu, Oct 29AI prediction →
- Tabora United – Geita GoldThu, Oct 29AI prediction →
- Namungo – Polisi TanzaniaThu, Oct 29AI prediction →
- JKT Tanzania – AzamSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Coastal Union – Dodoma JijiSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Ligi Kuu Bara fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Ligi Kuu Bara in 2026/27?
Simba wins Ligi Kuu Bara in 93.1% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.