Who Will Win Liga MX?
2,000 season simulations · 306 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Liga MX 2026 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Club America wins Liga MX in 37.8% of 2,000 season simulations.
Guadalajara Chivas — 30.1% title chance.
FC Juarez goes down in 99.6% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 15 | 29 | 37.8% | 95.2% | <0.1% | 64 |
| 2 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 29 | 30.1% | 92.7% | <0.1% | 63 |
| 3 |  Cruz Azul | 15 | 29 | 26.6% | 93.6% | <0.1% | 63 |
| 4 |  Atlas | 15 | 27 | 4.5% | 64.2% | <0.1% | 58 |
| 5 |  Toluca | 15 | 24 | 0.8% | 25.2% | <0.1% | 54 |
| 6 |  Club Tijuana | 15 | 22 | 0.2% | 5.6% | 0.1% | 50 |
| 7 |  Monterrey | 14 | 21 | 0.1% | 10.9% | 0.1% | 51 |
| 8 |  Leon | 15 | 22 | 0.1% | 4.8% | <0.1% | 49 |
| 9 |  Santos Laguna | 15 | 22 | <0.1% | 4.7% | <0.1% | 49 |
| 10 |  Club Queretaro | 14 | 20 | <0.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 48 |
| 11 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 15 | 20 | <0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 46 |
| 12 |  CF Pachuca | 15 | 19 | <0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 45 |
| 13 |  Atletico San Luis | 15 | 19 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 1.8% | 44 |
| 14 |  Puebla | 15 | 16 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 18.4% | 38 |
| 15 |  Tigres UANL | 15 | 15 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 31.6% | 37 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 15 | 14 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 51.1% | 35 |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 15 | 10 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 96.2% | 28 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 15 | 8 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 99.6% | 23 |
Next Liga MX fixtures — with AI predictions
- Necaxa – Club TijuanaSat, Nov 7AI prediction
- Atletico San Luis – FC JuarezSat, Nov 7AI prediction
- Atlante FC – Santos LagunaSat, Nov 7AI prediction
- Tigres UANL – Cruz AzulSat, Nov 7AI prediction
- Atlas – CF PachucaSat, Nov 7AI prediction
- Toluca – MonterreySun, Nov 8AI prediction
- U.N.A.M. - Pumas – Club AmericaSun, Nov 8AI prediction
- Club Queretaro – PueblaMon, Nov 9AI prediction
Methodology
Every remaining Liga MX fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Liga MX in 2026?
Club America wins Liga MX in 37.8% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.