Who Will Win Ligue 3?
2,000 season simulations · 306 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Ligue 3 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
La Roche VF wins Ligue 3 in 43.7% of 2,000 season simulations.
Rouen — 34.1% title chance.
Bourg-en-bresse 01 goes down in 93.5% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  La Roche VF | 10 | 21 | 43.7% | 91.1% | <0.1% | 65 |
| 2 |  Rouen | 10 | 20 | 34.1% | 89.1% | <0.1% | 64 |
| 3 |  Versailles | 10 | 19 | 9.8% | 61% | <0.1% | 59 |
| 4 |  Caen | 10 | 18 | 7% | 53% | <0.1% | 58 |
| 5 |  Concarneau | 10 | 17 | 2.9% | 31.9% | <0.1% | 56 |
| 6 |  Amiens | 10 | 16 | 1.3% | 27.2% | <0.1% | 55 |
| 7 |  Le Puy Foot | 10 | 16 | 0.6% | 16.9% | <0.1% | 53 |
| 8 |  Fleury 91 | 10 | 15 | 0.5% | 10% | <0.1% | 51 |
| 9 |  Cannes | 10 | 15 | 0.2% | 12.1% | <0.1% | 52 |
| 10 |  Gobelins | 10 | 15 | 0.2% | 6.4% | 0.1% | 50 |
| 11 |  Thionville Lusitanos | 10 | 12 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 43 |
| 12 |  Quevilly | 10 | 13 | <0.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 44 |
| 13 |  Bastia | 10 | 12 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 2.7% | 42 |
| 14 |  Valenciennes | 10 | 9 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 26.9% | 35 |
| 15 |  Orleans | 10 | 9 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 28.1% | 35 |
| 16 |  Aubagne | 10 | 7 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 67.4% | 30 |
| 17 |  Villefranche | 10 | 7 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 79% | 28 |
| 18 |  Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 10 | 5 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 93.5% | 25 |
Next Ligue 3 fixtures — with AI predictions
- Orleans – VillefrancheSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Bastia – QuevillySat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Le Puy Foot – CaenSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Versailles – AubagneSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Fleury 91 – GobelinsSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Rouen – ConcarneauSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- La Roche VF – Bourg-en-bresse 01Sat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Cannes – ValenciennesSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Ligue 3 fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Ligue 3 in 2026/27?
La Roche VF wins Ligue 3 in 43.7% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.