Who Will Win Super League?
2,000 season simulations · 240 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Super League 2026 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Chengdu Better City wins Super League in 100% of 2,000 season simulations.
Qingdao Jonoon goes down in 100% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 26 | 52 | 100% | 100% | <0.1% | 60 |
| 2 |  Dalian Zhixing | 26 | 40 | <0.1% | 98.6% | <0.1% | 46 |
| 3 |  Beijing Guoan | 26 | 38 | <0.1% | 70.5% | <0.1% | 44 |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 26 | 38 | <0.1% | 59% | <0.1% | 44 |
| 5 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 26 | 38 | <0.1% | 54.5% | <0.1% | 44 |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 26 | 37 | <0.1% | 17.6% | <0.1% | 43 |
| 7 |  SHANGHAI SIPG | 26 | 33 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 39 |
| 8 |  Shanghai Shenhua | 26 | 31 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 37 |
| 9 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 26 | 31 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 36 |
| 10 |  Hangzhou Greentown | 25 | 28 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 35 |
| 11 |  Sichuan Jiuniu | 26 | 28 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.1% | 33 |
| 12 |  Henan Jianye | 25 | 26 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.6% | 32 |
| 13 |  Shenyang Urban | 25 | 25 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 5.8% | 31 |
| 14 |  Tianjin Teda | 25 | 22 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 94.5% | 28 |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 24 | 20 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 99.1% | 27 |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 26 | 14 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 100% | 18 |
Next Super League fixtures — with AI predictions
- Tianjin Teda – Shenyang UrbanSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Wuhan Three Towns – Henan JianyeSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Hangzhou Greentown – Wuhan Three TownsFri, Sep 18AI prediction →
- Sichuan Jiuniu – Henan JianyeFri, Oct 9AI prediction →
- Hangzhou Greentown – SHANGHAI SIPGFri, Oct 9AI prediction →
- Shanghai Shenhua – Yunnan YukunSat, Oct 10AI prediction →
- Chengdu Better City – Tianjin TedaSat, Oct 10AI prediction →
- Qingdao Jonoon – Beijing GuoanSat, Oct 10AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Super League fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Super League in 2026?
Chengdu Better City wins Super League in 100% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.