Who Will Win China Super League?
2,000 season simulations · 8 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Super League 2026 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Chengdu Better City wins Super League in 100% of 2,000 season simulations.
Wuhan Three Towns goes down in 100% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 29 | 52 | 100% | 100% | <0.1% | 53 |
| 2 |  Dalian Zhixing | 29 | 49 | <0.1% | 100% | <0.1% | 51 |
| 3 |  Beijing Guoan | 29 | 47 | <0.1% | 100% | <0.1% | 49 |
| 4 |  Shandong Luneng | 29 | 44 | <0.1% | 64% | <0.1% | 45 |
| 5 |  SHANGHAI SIPG | 29 | 42 | <0.1% | 36% | <0.1% | 44 |
| 6 |  Yunnan Yukun | 29 | 40 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 42 |
| 7 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 29 | 39 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 40 |
| 8 |  Shanghai Shenhua | 29 | 37 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 39 |
| 9 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 29 | 36 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 37 |
| 10 |  Hangzhou Greentown | 29 | 34 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 36 |
| 11 |  Sichuan Jiuniu | 29 | 32 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 34 |
| 12 |  Tianjin Teda | 29 | 31 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 32 |
| 13 |  Shenyang Urban | 29 | 29 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 34.4% | 30 |
| 14 |  Henan Jianye | 29 | 28 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 65.7% | 29 |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 29 | 22 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 100% | 23 |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 29 | 14 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 100% | 15 |
Next Super League fixtures — with AI predictions
- Beijing Guoan – Chongqing Tongliang LongSun, Nov 8AI prediction →
- Shanghai Shenhua – Qingdao Youth IslandSun, Nov 8AI prediction →
- SHANGHAI SIPG – Shenyang UrbanSun, Nov 8AI prediction →
- Shandong Luneng – Chengdu Better CitySun, Nov 8AI prediction →
- Hangzhou Greentown – Henan JianyeSun, Nov 8AI prediction →
- Qingdao Jonoon – Sichuan JiuniuSun, Nov 8AI prediction →
- Dalian Zhixing – Tianjin TedaSun, Nov 8AI prediction →
- Yunnan Yukun – Wuhan Three TownsSun, Nov 8AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Super League fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Super League in 2026?
Chengdu Better City wins Super League in 100% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.