Who Will Win Allsvenskan?
2,000 season simulations · 240 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Allsvenskan 2026 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Sirius wins Allsvenskan in 99.5% of 2,000 season simulations.
Djurgardens IF — 0.5% title chance.
Halmstad goes down in 100% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sirius | 21 | 48 | 99.5% | 100% | <0.1% | 66 |
| 2 |  Djurgardens IF | 21 | 41 | 0.5% | 100% | <0.1% | 58 |
| 3 |  Hammarby FF | 21 | 40 | 0.1% | 99.9% | <0.1% | 57 |
| 4 |  IF Elfsborg | 21 | 34 | <0.1% | 44.8% | <0.1% | 48 |
| 5 |  Malmo FF | 21 | 33 | <0.1% | 20.9% | <0.1% | 47 |
| 6 |  BK Hacken | 21 | 33 | <0.1% | 16.2% | <0.1% | 47 |
| 7 |  AIK Stockholm | 21 | 33 | <0.1% | 12.4% | <0.1% | 46 |
| 8 |  Vasteras SK FK | 21 | 32 | <0.1% | 5.9% | <0.1% | 45 |
| 9 |  IFK Goteborg | 21 | 29 | <0.1% | 0.1% | <0.1% | 41 |
| 10 |  Gais | 21 | 27 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 39 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 21 | 27 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 39 |
| 12 |  Mjallby AIF | 21 | 22 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 2.8% | 32 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 21 | 19 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 43.8% | 29 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 21 | 19 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 53.9% | 29 |
| 15 |  Orgryte IS | 21 | 15 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 99.6% | 23 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 21 | 11 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 100% | 18 |
Next Allsvenskan fixtures — with AI predictions
- IF Brommapojkarna – IFK GoteborgSat, Sep 19AI prediction →
- Vasteras SK FK – Malmo FFSat, Sep 19AI prediction →
- Orgryte IS – SiriusSat, Sep 19AI prediction →
- Djurgardens IF – IF ElfsborgSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
- Kalmar FF – BK HackenSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
- Halmstad – AIK StockholmSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
- Degerfors IF – Hammarby FFSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
- Mjallby AIF – GaisSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Allsvenskan fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Allsvenskan in 2026?
Sirius wins Allsvenskan in 99.5% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.