Who Will Win Allsvenskan?
2,000 season simulations · 31 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Allsvenskan 2026 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Sirius wins Allsvenskan in 100% of 2,000 season simulations.
Halmstad goes down in 100% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sirius | 14 | 38 | 100% | 100% | <0.1% | 47 |
| 2 |  Hammarby FF | 15 | 27 | <0.1% | 96.9% | <0.1% | 34 |
| 3 |  BK Hacken | 15 | 25 | <0.1% | 69.4% | <0.1% | 31 |
| 4 |  Djurgardens IF | 13 | 23 | <0.1% | 57% | <0.1% | 30 |
| 5 |  Malmo FF | 15 | 23 | <0.1% | 30.1% | <0.1% | 28 |
| 6 |  Vasteras SK FK | 14 | 22 | <0.1% | 19.8% | <0.1% | 28 |
| 7 |  IF Elfsborg | 15 | 21 | <0.1% | 14.8% | <0.1% | 27 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 15 | 22 | <0.1% | 4.1% | <0.1% | 26 |
| 9 |  Gais | 15 | 20 | <0.1% | 7.4% | <0.1% | 26 |
| 10 |  Kalmar FF | 15 | 18 | <0.1% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 23 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 15 | 17 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 5.3% | 22 |
| 12 |  IFK Goteborg | 15 | 16 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 11.1% | 22 |
| 13 |  Mjallby AIF | 14 | 17 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 16.1% | 20 |
| 14 |  Orgryte IS | 15 | 13 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 67.4% | 18 |
| 15 |  Degerfors IF | 15 | 10 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 98.1% | 14 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 14 | 7 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 100% | 11 |
Next Allsvenskan fixtures — with AI predictions
- Orgryte IS – AIK StockholmSat, Aug 8AI prediction →
- Mjallby AIF – IF ElfsborgSat, Aug 8AI prediction →
- Hammarby FF – BK HackenSun, Aug 9AI prediction →
- Malmo FF – Degerfors IFSun, Aug 9AI prediction →
- IFK Goteborg – Kalmar FFSun, Aug 9AI prediction →
- Halmstad – GaisSun, Aug 9AI prediction →
- Sirius – IF BrommapojkarnaMon, Aug 10AI prediction →
- Vasteras SK FK – Djurgardens IFMon, Aug 10AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Allsvenskan fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Allsvenskan in 2026?
Sirius wins Allsvenskan in 100% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.