Who Will Win Brazil Série B?
2,000 season simulations · 31 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Série B 2026 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Novorizontino wins Série B in 52.3% of 2,000 season simulations.
Juventude — 32.9% title chance.
America Mineiro goes down in 100% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 35 | 64 | 52.3% | 98.5% | <0.1% | 69 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 35 | 64 | 32.9% | 98.5% | <0.1% | 69 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 35 | 62 | 10.7% | 87.1% | <0.1% | 66 |
| 4 |  Fortaleza EC | 35 | 61 | 3.7% | 75.8% | <0.1% | 65 |
| 5 |  Criciuma | 35 | 59 | 0.6% | 38.2% | <0.1% | 64 |
| 6 |  CRB | 35 | 55 | <0.1% | 0.9% | <0.1% | 59 |
| 7 |  Sport Recife | 35 | 54 | <0.1% | 0.6% | <0.1% | 58 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 35 | 54 | <0.1% | 0.5% | <0.1% | 58 |
| 9 |  Operario-PR | 35 | 51 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 55 |
| 10 |  Goias | 34 | 49 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 55 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 35 | 49 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 53 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 35 | 47 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 51 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 35 | 47 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 51 |
| 14 |  Ceara | 34 | 43 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 49 |
| 15 |  Athletic Club | 35 | 44 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 48 |
| 16 |  Nautico Recife | 35 | 43 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 47 |
| 17 |  Avai | 35 | 37 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 8.6% | 41 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 35 | 32 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 91.5% | 36 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 35 | 23 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 100% | 26 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 35 | 15 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 100% | 17 |
Next Série B fixtures — with AI predictions
- Ceara – GoiasTue, Oct 27AI prediction →
- Criciuma – Ponte PretaFri, Oct 30AI prediction →
- Botafogo SP – Sport RecifeSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Vila Nova – JuventudeSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Nautico Recife – AvaiSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Londrina – America MineiroSun, Nov 1AI prediction →
- Cuiaba – São BernardoSun, Nov 1AI prediction →
- Novorizontino – Operario-PRSun, Nov 1AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Série B fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Série B in 2026?
Novorizontino wins Série B in 52.3% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.