Who Will Win Série B?
2,000 season simulations · 63 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Série B 2026 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Juventude wins Série B in 33.2% of 2,000 season simulations.
Novorizontino — 30% title chance.
Ponte Preta goes down in 100% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventude | 27 | 50 | 33.2% | 83.6% | <0.1% | 71 |
| 2 |  Novorizontino | 27 | 49 | 30% | 81% | <0.1% | 70 |
| 3 |  Fortaleza EC | 27 | 47 | 15.5% | 65.6% | <0.1% | 67 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 27 | 47 | 9.6% | 56.7% | <0.1% | 66 |
| 5 |  Vila Nova | 26 | 44 | 8.3% | 49.9% | <0.1% | 65 |
| 6 |  Operario-PR | 27 | 43 | 1.4% | 15.8% | <0.1% | 59 |
| 7 |  Atletico Goianiense | 27 | 43 | 1.1% | 20.3% | <0.1% | 60 |
| 8 |  CRB | 27 | 42 | 0.5% | 12.8% | <0.1% | 58 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 26 | 38 | 0.3% | 4.6% | 0.1% | 55 |
| 10 |  Cuiaba | 27 | 39 | 0.2% | 4.3% | 0.2% | 55 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 26 | 35 | 0.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 51 |
| 12 |  Athletic Club | 27 | 37 | <0.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 52 |
| 13 |  Nautico Recife | 27 | 37 | <0.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 51 |
| 14 |  Goias | 26 | 36 | <0.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 51 |
| 15 |  Botafogo SP | 27 | 31 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 2.9% | 46 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 27 | 31 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 11.7% | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 27 | 29 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 15.4% | 42 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 26 | 22 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 68.9% | 35 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 27 | 17 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 98.5% | 25 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 26 | 10 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 100% | 17 |
Next Série B fixtures — with AI predictions
- Vila Nova – GoiasThu, Sep 10AI prediction →
- São Bernardo – LondrinaThu, Sep 10AI prediction →
- Sport Recife – Ponte PretaFri, Sep 11AI prediction →
- Atletico Goianiense – CriciumaSun, Sep 13AI prediction →
- Juventude – Athletic ClubSun, Sep 13AI prediction →
- Fortaleza EC – CearaSun, Sep 13AI prediction →
- Novorizontino – CuiabaSun, Sep 13AI prediction →
- America Mineiro – São BernardoMon, Sep 14AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Série B fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Série B in 2026?
Juventude wins Série B in 33.2% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.