Who Will Win Liga Pro?
2,000 season simulations · 8 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Liga Pro 2026 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Independiente del Valle wins Liga Pro in 100% of 2,000 season simulations.
Tecnico Universitario goes down in 100% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle | 29 | 71 | 100% | 100% | <0.1% | 73 |
| 2 |  Aucas | 29 | 49 | <0.1% | 100% | <0.1% | 51 |
| 3 |  Universidad Catolica | 29 | 48 | <0.1% | 100% | <0.1% | 50 |
| 4 |  Macara | 29 | 48 | <0.1% | 100% | <0.1% | 50 |
| 5 |  LDU de Quito | 29 | 45 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 47 |
| 6 |  Barcelona SC | 29 | 43 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 45 |
| 7 |  Libertad | 29 | 41 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 42 |
| 8 |  Leones del Norte | 29 | 39 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 41 |
| 9 |  Mushuc Runa SC | 29 | 38 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 39 |
| 10 |  Guayaquil City FC | 29 | 36 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 38 |
| 11 |  Emelec | 29 | 36 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 37 |
| 12 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 29 | 35 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 36 |
| 13 |  Orense SC | 29 | 33 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 34 |
| 14 |  Tecnico Universitario | 29 | 29 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 100% | 30 |
| 15 |  Delfin SC | 29 | 27 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 100% | 28 |
| 16 |  Manta FC | 29 | 20 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 100% | 21 |
Next Liga Pro fixtures — with AI predictions
- Manta FC – AucasSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Guayaquil City FC – Mushuc Runa SCSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- LDU de Quito – Deportivo CuencaSun, Sep 13AI prediction →
- Leones del Norte – Tecnico UniversitarioSun, Sep 13AI prediction →
- Macara – EmelecSun, Sep 13AI prediction →
- Barcelona SC – Delfin SCSun, Sep 13AI prediction →
- Libertad – Independiente del ValleSun, Sep 13AI prediction →
- Universidad Catolica – Orense SCTue, Sep 15AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Liga Pro fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Liga Pro in 2026?
Independiente del Valle wins Liga Pro in 100% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.