Who Will Win Primera B?
2,000 season simulations · 25 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Primera B 2026 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Santiago Wanderers wins Primera B in 46.5% of 2,000 season simulations.
Cobreloa — 23.6% title chance.
Rangers de Talca goes down in 89.3% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Santiago Wanderers | 24 | 44 | 46.5% | 88.8% | <0.1% | 53 |
| 2 |  Cobreloa | 24 | 42 | 23.6% | 73.1% | <0.1% | 51 |
| 3 |  Antofagasta | 24 | 38 | 11.9% | 57.8% | <0.1% | 48 |
| 4 |  San Luis | 23 | 38 | 9.6% | 61.9% | <0.1% | 49 |
| 5 |  Recoleta | 24 | 37 | 4.1% | 38.7% | <0.1% | 46 |
| 6 |  Magallanes | 24 | 37 | 3.5% | 38.8% | <0.1% | 47 |
| 7 |  Union Espanola | 24 | 35 | 0.6% | 13.7% | 0.1% | 43 |
| 8 |  San Marcos de Arica | 24 | 33 | 0.4% | 12% | 0.3% | 42 |
| 9 |  Deportes Temuco | 24 | 31 | 0.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 40 |
| 10 |  D. Puerto Montt | 24 | 34 | <0.1% | 8.2% | 0.2% | 41 |
| 11 |  Deportes Copiapo | 24 | 31 | <0.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 39 |
| 12 |  Deportes Iquique | 24 | 25 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 27.7% | 33 |
| 13 |  Curico Unido | 24 | 27 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 41.9% | 32 |
| 14 |  Union San Felipe | 23 | 22 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 55.4% | 31 |
| 15 |  Deportes Santa Cruz | 24 | 21 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 80.1% | 27 |
| 16 |  Rangers de Talca | 24 | 18 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 89.3% | 25 |
Next Primera B fixtures — with AI predictions
- Magallanes – D. Puerto MonttSun, Sep 13AI prediction →
- San Marcos de Arica – Curico UnidoSun, Sep 13AI prediction →
- Deportes Santa Cruz – RecoletaMon, Sep 14AI prediction →
- Rangers de Talca – Deportes IquiqueMon, Sep 14AI prediction →
- San Luis – AntofagastaTue, Sep 15AI prediction →
- Union Espanola – Deportes TemucoTue, Sep 15AI prediction →
- Union San Felipe – Deportes CopiapoSat, Sep 26AI prediction →
- Cobreloa – Santiago WanderersSat, Sep 26AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Primera B fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Primera B in 2026?
Santiago Wanderers wins Primera B in 46.5% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.