Who Will Win Venezuela Primera División?
2,000 season simulations · 182 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Primera División 2026 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Puerto Cabello wins Primera División in 51.3% of 2,000 season simulations.
Carabobo FC — 47.9% title chance.
Zamora FC goes down in 78.4% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Puerto Cabello | 2 | 3 | 51.3% | 99.9% | <0.1% | 59 |
| 2 |  Carabobo FC | 1 | 3 | 47.9% | 100% | <0.1% | 58 |
| 3 |  Caracas FC | 2 | 3 | 0.6% | 70.4% | 0.3% | 42 |
| 4 |  Deportivo La Guaira | 1 | 1 | 0.2% | 44.4% | 0.7% | 38 |
| 5 |  Deportivo Tachira FC | 2 | 6 | 0.1% | 44.6% | 0.5% | 39 |
| 6 |  Estudiantes de Merida FC | 13 | 17 | <0.1% | 22.9% | 0.1% | 37 |
| 7 |  UCV | 13 | 16 | <0.1% | 11.3% | 0.1% | 35 |
| 8 |  Trujillanos FC | 13 | 14 | <0.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 31 |
| 9 |  Portuguesa FC | 1 | 0 | <0.1% | 4.6% | 21% | 28 |
| 10 |  Rayo Zuliano | 13 | 11 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 20.4% | 26 |
| 11 |  Monagas SC | 2 | 0 | <0.1% | 0.6% | 46.9% | 24 |
| 12 |  Metropolitanos FC | 1 | 1 | <0.1% | 0.4% | 55% | 23 |
| 13 |  Anzoátegui FC | 13 | 8 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 76.3% | 21 |
| 14 |  Zamora FC | 13 | 8 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 78.4% | 21 |
Next Primera División fixtures — with AI predictions
- Carabobo FC – Deportivo La GuairaWed, Oct 28AI prediction →
- Metropolitanos FC – Portuguesa FCWed, Oct 28AI prediction →
- Puerto Cabello – Deportivo Tachira FCSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Caracas FC – Monagas SCSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Deportivo La Guaira – Portuguesa FCSun, Nov 1AI prediction →
- Carabobo FC – Metropolitanos FCSun, Nov 1AI prediction →
- Monagas SC – Caracas FCTue, Nov 3AI prediction →
- Deportivo Tachira FC – Puerto CabelloTue, Nov 3AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Primera División fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Primera División in 2026?
Puerto Cabello wins Primera División in 51.3% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.