Who Will Win Primera A?
2,000 season simulations · 59 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Primera A 2026 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
America de Cali wins Primera A in 38.9% of 2,000 season simulations.
Águilas Doradas — 20.2% title chance.
Cucuta goes down in 46.3% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  America de Cali | 2 | 6 | 38.9% | 81.2% | <0.1% | 17 |
| 2 |  Águilas Doradas | 2 | 6 | 20.2% | 68.4% | <0.1% | 16 |
| 3 |  Deportes Tolima | 2 | 6 | 16.8% | 64.1% | <0.1% | 16 |
| 4 |  Once Caldas | 2 | 4 | 8% | 41.5% | 0.3% | 14 |
| 5 |  Independiente Medellin | 2 | 6 | 5.5% | 43.9% | 0.1% | 15 |
| 6 |  Bucaramanga | 2 | 4 | 3.4% | 24.8% | 0.7% | 13 |
| 7 |  Atletico Nacional | 1 | 3 | 3.3% | 27.7% | 0.7% | 13 |
| 8 |  Llaneros | 2 | 4 | 2.2% | 21.1% | 0.7% | 13 |
| 9 |  Millonarios | 2 | 3 | 0.9% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 11 |
| 10 |  Deportivo Cali | 2 | 3 | 0.5% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 11 |
| 11 |  Fortaleza FC | 2 | 2 | 0.3% | 3.5% | 8.8% | 9 |
| 12 |  Santa Fe | 2 | 1 | 0.2% | 2% | 14.4% | 9 |
| 13 |  Internacional de Bogota | 1 | 0 | 0.1% | 1.9% | 22.3% | 8 |
| 14 |  Deportivo Pereira | 2 | 1 | <0.1% | 0.5% | 17.8% | 8 |
| 15 |  Alianza Valledupar | 2 | 1 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 26.6% | 7 |
| 16 |  Chico | 1 | 0 | <0.1% | 0.9% | 32.6% | 7 |
| 17 |  Deportivo Pasto | 2 | 0 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 37.5% | 6 |
| 18 |  Junior | 2 | 0 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 40% | 6 |
| 19 |  Cucuta | 1 | 0 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 46.3% | 6 |
| 20 |  Jaguares | 2 | 0 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 45.4% | 6 |
Next Primera A fixtures — with AI predictions
- Bucaramanga – CucutaTue, Aug 4AI prediction →
- Llaneros – Fortaleza FCTue, Aug 4AI prediction →
- Deportes Tolima – Independiente MedellinTue, Aug 4AI prediction →
- Millonarios – Deportivo PastoWed, Aug 5AI prediction →
- Atletico Nacional – JuniorWed, Aug 5AI prediction →
- Internacional de Bogota – JaguaresWed, Aug 5AI prediction →
- Deportivo Pereira – Santa FeWed, Aug 5AI prediction →
- Once Caldas – America de CaliThu, Aug 6AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Primera A fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Primera A in 2026?
America de Cali wins Primera A in 38.9% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.