Who Will Win Primera A?
2,000 season simulations · 380 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Primera A 2026 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Atletico Nacional wins Primera A in 53.6% of 2,000 season simulations.
America de Cali — 34.2% title chance.
Fortaleza FC goes down in 84.7% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 17 | 36 | 53.6% | 99.7% | <0.1% | 77 |
| 2 |  America de Cali | 17 | 35 | 34.2% | 99.1% | <0.1% | 75 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Cali | 17 | 33 | 12% | 95.7% | <0.1% | 72 |
| 4 |  Bucaramanga | 17 | 29 | 0.2% | 47.1% | <0.1% | 64 |
| 5 |  Independiente Medellin | 17 | 26 | 0.1% | 5.9% | <0.1% | 57 |
| 6 |  Santa Fe | 17 | 28 | <0.1% | 24.6% | <0.1% | 61 |
| 7 |  Millonarios | 17 | 27 | <0.1% | 21.7% | <0.1% | 61 |
| 8 |  Águilas Doradas | 17 | 25 | <0.1% | 3.3% | <0.1% | 56 |
| 9 |  Once Caldas | 17 | 24 | <0.1% | 1.7% | <0.1% | 54 |
| 10 |  Cucuta | 17 | 24 | <0.1% | 0.9% | <0.1% | 53 |
| 11 |  Deportes Tolima | 17 | 23 | <0.1% | 0.5% | <0.1% | 52 |
| 12 |  Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 20 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 1.2% | 47 |
| 13 |  Llaneros | 17 | 20 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 1.4% | 47 |
| 14 |  Alianza Valledupar | 17 | 18 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 10% | 42 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Pereira | 17 | 17 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 17.2% | 41 |
| 16 |  Junior | 17 | 16 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 23.8% | 40 |
| 17 |  Chico | 17 | 16 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 36.1% | 38 |
| 18 |  Deportivo Pasto | 17 | 15 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 45.5% | 37 |
| 19 |  Jaguares | 17 | 13 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 80.2% | 34 |
| 20 |  Fortaleza FC | 17 | 12 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 84.7% | 33 |
Next Primera A fixtures — with AI predictions
- Chico – Internacional de BogotaFri, Nov 6AI prediction
- Fortaleza FC – Independiente MedellinSat, Nov 7AI prediction
- Once Caldas – Águilas DoradasSat, Nov 7AI prediction
- Atletico Nacional – Deportivo PereiraSat, Nov 7AI prediction
- America de Cali – Deportivo CaliSun, Nov 8AI prediction
- Santa Fe – Deportivo PastoSun, Nov 8AI prediction
- Jaguares – BucaramangaSun, Nov 8AI prediction
- Deportes Tolima – MillonariosSun, Nov 8AI prediction
Methodology
Every remaining Primera A fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Primera A in 2026?
Atletico Nacional wins Primera A in 53.6% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.