Who Will Win Primera A?
2,000 season simulations · 380 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Primera A 2026 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Atletico Nacional wins Primera A in 73% of 2,000 season simulations.
America de Cali — 21.1% title chance.
Junior goes down in 82.9% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 7 | 18 | 73% | 99.7% | <0.1% | 86 |
| 2 |  America de Cali | 9 | 20 | 21.1% | 98.8% | <0.1% | 80 |
| 3 |  Independiente Medellin | 7 | 15 | 5.4% | 85.8% | <0.1% | 74 |
| 4 |  Bucaramanga | 7 | 13 | 0.5% | 50.3% | <0.1% | 67 |
| 5 |  Deportes Tolima | 9 | 16 | 0.1% | 30.3% | <0.1% | 64 |
| 6 |  Santa Fe | 8 | 13 | <0.1% | 15% | <0.1% | 61 |
| 7 |  Millonarios | 10 | 16 | <0.1% | 10.4% | <0.1% | 60 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Cali | 8 | 12 | <0.1% | 5.7% | 0.1% | 57 |
| 9 |  Águilas Doradas | 7 | 10 | <0.1% | 2.8% | <0.1% | 54 |
| 10 |  Once Caldas | 9 | 12 | <0.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 53 |
| 11 |  Llaneros | 9 | 11 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 49 |
| 12 |  Internacional de Bogota | 10 | 11 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 3.6% | 46 |
| 13 |  Cucuta | 9 | 9 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 12.6% | 42 |
| 14 |  Fortaleza FC | 9 | 8 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 15.6% | 41 |
| 15 |  Chico | 8 | 8 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 19.2% | 41 |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 8 | 7 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 27.5% | 39 |
| 17 |  Deportivo Pereira | 7 | 6 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 30.4% | 39 |
| 18 |  Alianza Valledupar | 9 | 8 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 30% | 38 |
| 19 |  Deportivo Pasto | 9 | 5 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 76.9% | 31 |
| 20 |  Junior | 7 | 3 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 82.9% | 30 |
Next Primera A fixtures — with AI predictions
- Bucaramanga – Independiente MedellinFri, Sep 18AI prediction →
- Águilas Doradas – Deportivo PereiraFri, Sep 18AI prediction →
- Millonarios – ChicoSat, Sep 19AI prediction →
- Alianza Valledupar – Santa FeSat, Sep 19AI prediction →
- Deportivo Cali – CucutaSat, Sep 19AI prediction →
- Deportivo Pasto – Once CaldasSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
- Fortaleza FC – JuniorSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
- Bucaramanga – Internacional de BogotaSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Primera A fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Primera A in 2026?
Atletico Nacional wins Primera A in 73% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.