Who Will Win Liga Profesional?
2,000 season simulations · 870 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Liga Profesional 2026 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Instituto Cordoba wins Liga Profesional in 45.8% of 2,000 season simulations.
Rosario Central — 21.9% title chance.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto goes down in 81.4% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Instituto Cordoba | 15 | 33 | 45.8% | 91.2% | <0.1% | 115 |
| 2 |  Rosario Central | 15 | 31 | 21.9% | 80.4% | <0.1% | 111 |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 15 | 31 | 16.1% | 71.7% | <0.1% | 109 |
| 4 |  Boca Juniors | 15 | 30 | 9.6% | 58.8% | <0.1% | 107 |
| 5 |  Velez Sarsfield | 15 | 28 | 2.9% | 35.5% | <0.1% | 103 |
| 6 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 15 | 28 | 2% | 29.4% | <0.1% | 102 |
| 7 |  Gimnasia L.P. | 15 | 28 | 1.4% | 23.2% | <0.1% | 100 |
| 8 |  Lanus | 15 | 25 | 0.5% | 6.4% | <0.1% | 94 |
| 9 |  River Plate | 15 | 23 | 0.1% | 1.2% | <0.1% | 88 |
| 10 |  Belgrano Cordoba | 15 | 23 | <0.1% | 0.8% | <0.1% | 88 |
| 11 |  Barracas Central | 15 | 23 | <0.1% | 0.9% | <0.1% | 87 |
| 12 |  Newells Old Boys | 15 | 22 | <0.1% | 0.3% | <0.1% | 85 |
| 13 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 15 | 22 | <0.1% | 0.1% | <0.1% | 82 |
| 14 |  Gimnasia M. | 15 | 21 | <0.1% | 0.3% | <0.1% | 81 |
| 15 |  Sarmiento Junin | 15 | 21 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 81 |
| 16 |  Independiente | 15 | 20 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 78 |
| 17 |  San Lorenzo | 15 | 19 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.3% | 75 |
| 18 |  Huracan | 15 | 19 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.3% | 75 |
| 19 |  Union Santa Fe | 15 | 18 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.5% | 73 |
| 20 |  Atletico Tucuman | 15 | 17 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 1.1% | 71 |
| 21 |  Platense | 15 | 17 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 1.8% | 70 |
| 22 |  Tigre | 15 | 16 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 2.4% | 69 |
| 23 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 15 | 15 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 4.5% | 66 |
| 24 |  Racing Club | 15 | 15 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 6.4% | 64 |
| 25 |  Banfield | 15 | 14 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 13.2% | 62 |
| 26 |  Talleres Cordoba | 15 | 12 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 30.9% | 57 |
| 27 |  Deportivo Riestra | 15 | 12 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 34.1% | 57 |
| 28 |  Aldosivi | 15 | 11 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 49.5% | 54 |
| 29 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 15 | 10 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 73.9% | 50 |
| 30 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 15 | 9 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 81.4% | 48 |
Next Liga Profesional fixtures — with AI predictions
- Gimnasia L.P. – Belgrano CordobaSun, Nov 8AI prediction →
- Rosario Central – Estudiantes de Rio CuartoSun, Nov 8AI prediction →
- Union Santa Fe – Velez SarsfieldSun, Nov 8AI prediction →
- Banfield – Atletico TucumanSun, Nov 8AI prediction →
- Boca Juniors – Defensa Y JusticiaSun, Nov 8AI prediction →
- Tigre – Sarmiento JuninSun, Nov 8AI prediction →
- Independiente – Deportivo RiestraSun, Nov 8AI prediction →
- Talleres Cordoba – Estudiantes L.P.Sun, Nov 8AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Liga Profesional fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Liga Profesional in 2026?
Instituto Cordoba wins Liga Profesional in 45.8% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.