Who Will Win Liga Profesional?
2,000 season simulations · 870 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Liga Profesional 2026 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Instituto Cordoba wins Liga Profesional in 42.8% of 2,000 season simulations.
Argentinos JRS — 25.7% title chance.
Aldosivi goes down in 78% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Instituto Cordoba | 9 | 19 | 42.8% | 86.5% | <0.1% | 109 |
| 2 |  Argentinos JRS | 9 | 18 | 25.7% | 77.2% | <0.1% | 106 |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 9 | 17 | 13.3% | 60% | <0.1% | 102 |
| 4 |  Gimnasia M. | 9 | 16 | 6.8% | 41.3% | <0.1% | 98 |
| 5 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 10 | 18 | 4.8% | 35.5% | <0.1% | 97 |
| 6 |  Gimnasia L.P. | 9 | 16 | 2.6% | 24.2% | <0.1% | 94 |
| 7 |  Rosario Central | 9 | 15 | 2% | 18.5% | <0.1% | 92 |
| 8 |  Independiente | 9 | 14 | 0.5% | 6.6% | <0.1% | 87 |
| 9 |  Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 16 | 0.3% | 8.9% | <0.1% | 89 |
| 10 |  Boca Juniors | 9 | 14 | 0.3% | 7.9% | <0.1% | 88 |
| 11 |  Union Santa Fe | 9 | 13 | 0.3% | 3.8% | 0.1% | 84 |
| 12 |  Lanus | 9 | 13 | 0.2% | 3.7% | <0.1% | 85 |
| 13 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 9 | 14 | 0.1% | 6.2% | <0.1% | 87 |
| 14 |  Belgrano Cordoba | 9 | 13 | 0.1% | 3.8% | <0.1% | 85 |
| 15 |  River Plate | 9 | 13 | 0.1% | 3.8% | 0.1% | 84 |
| 16 |  Atletico Tucuman | 9 | 13 | 0.1% | 3.5% | <0.1% | 84 |
| 17 |  Newells Old Boys | 9 | 13 | 0.1% | 3.8% | 0.1% | 84 |
| 18 |  Huracan | 9 | 13 | 0.1% | 3.1% | 0.1% | 83 |
| 19 |  Tigre | 9 | 12 | 0.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 80 |
| 20 |  Barracas Central | 9 | 12 | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 78 |
| 21 |  San Lorenzo | 9 | 11 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 74 |
| 22 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 9 | 10 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 2.8% | 71 |
| 23 |  Deportivo Riestra | 9 | 9 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 9.7% | 66 |
| 24 |  Platense | 9 | 9 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 13.1% | 64 |
| 25 |  Talleres Cordoba | 9 | 8 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 22.8% | 61 |
| 26 |  Banfield | 9 | 8 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 25.4% | 60 |
| 27 |  Racing Club | 10 | 8 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 38.4% | 57 |
| 28 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 10 | 8 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 39.3% | 57 |
| 29 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 9 | 6 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 68.7% | 52 |
| 30 |  Aldosivi | 9 | 5 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 78% | 49 |
Next Liga Profesional fixtures — with AI predictions
- Gimnasia L.P. – BanfieldSat, Sep 19AI prediction →
- Gimnasia M. – Deportivo RiestraSat, Sep 19AI prediction →
- Union Santa Fe – IndependienteSat, Sep 19AI prediction →
- River Plate – HuracanSat, Sep 19AI prediction →
- Instituto Cordoba – Talleres CordobaSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
- San Lorenzo – Boca JuniorsSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
- Rosario Central – Argentinos JRSSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
- Platense – Newells Old BoysSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Liga Profesional fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Liga Profesional in 2026?
Instituto Cordoba wins Liga Profesional in 42.8% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.