Who Will Win Liga Profesional?
2,000 season simulations · 68 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Liga Profesional 2026 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Argentinos JRS wins Liga Profesional in 52.7% of 2,000 season simulations.
Barracas Central — 18.9% title chance.
River Plate goes down in 78.9% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Argentinos JRS | 3 | 9 | 52.7% | 90.7% | <0.1% | 18 |
| 2 |  Barracas Central | 3 | 9 | 18.9% | 77.7% | <0.1% | 16 |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 2 | 6 | 14.2% | 61% | <0.1% | 15 |
| 4 |  Independiente | 2 | 6 | 9.9% | 53.8% | <0.1% | 15 |
| 5 |  Atletico Tucuman | 2 | 4 | 1.5% | 19.8% | 0.1% | 12 |
| 6 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 2 | 4 | 1% | 12.6% | 0.2% | 12 |
| 7 |  Instituto Cordoba | 3 | 6 | 0.6% | 16.2% | <0.1% | 12 |
| 8 |  Gimnasia L.P. | 3 | 6 | 0.5% | 11.2% | <0.1% | 11 |
| 9 |  Gimnasia M. | 3 | 6 | 0.4% | 11.1% | <0.1% | 11 |
| 10 |  Tigre | 2 | 3 | 0.2% | 10% | 0.6% | 11 |
| 11 |  San Lorenzo | 2 | 3 | 0.2% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 10 |
| 12 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 2 | 3 | 0.1% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 10 |
| 13 |  Lanus | 2 | 3 | 0.1% | 4% | 1.9% | 10 |
| 14 |  Huracan | 2 | 3 | 0.1% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 10 |
| 15 |  Belgrano Cordoba | 2 | 3 | 0.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 9 |
| 16 |  Newells Old Boys | 3 | 4 | <0.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 10 |
| 17 |  Banfield | 3 | 4 | <0.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 10 |
| 18 |  Rosario Central | 3 | 4 | <0.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 10 |
| 19 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 3 | 4 | <0.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 9 |
| 20 |  Racing Club | 3 | 4 | <0.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 9 |
| 21 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 3 | 4 | <0.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 9 |
| 22 |  Deportivo Riestra | 3 | 3 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 4.7% | 8 |
| 23 |  Union Santa Fe | 2 | 1 | <0.1% | 0.7% | 11.2% | 8 |
| 24 |  Platense | 2 | 1 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 14.9% | 7 |
| 25 |  Boca Juniors | 2 | 1 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 22.2% | 7 |
| 26 |  Talleres Cordoba | 2 | 0 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 35.3% | 6 |
| 27 |  Aldosivi | 3 | 1 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 35.3% | 5 |
| 28 |  Sarmiento Junin | 2 | 0 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 38% | 5 |
| 29 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 2 | 0 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 42.7% | 5 |
| 30 |  River Plate | 3 | 0 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 78.9% | 3 |
Next Liga Profesional fixtures — with AI predictions
- Sarmiento Junin – Independ. RivadaviaMon, Aug 3AI prediction →
- Velez Sarsfield – IndependienteMon, Aug 3AI prediction →
- Platense – Talleres CordobaMon, Aug 3AI prediction →
- Huracan – Atletico TucumanTue, Aug 4AI prediction →
- Central Cordoba de Santiago – San LorenzoTue, Aug 4AI prediction →
- Boca Juniors – Estudiantes L.P.Wed, Aug 5AI prediction →
- Tigre – Belgrano CordobaThu, Aug 6AI prediction →
- Union Santa Fe – LanusThu, Aug 6AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Liga Profesional fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Liga Profesional in 2026?
Argentinos JRS wins Liga Profesional in 52.7% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.