Who Will Win Tunisia Ligue 1?
2,000 season simulations · 240 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Ligue 1 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
US Ben Guerdane wins Ligue 1 in 67.1% of 2,000 season simulations.
ES Tunis — 15% title chance.
ES Hammam-Sousse goes down in 97.6% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  US Ben Guerdane | 7 | 17 | 67.1% | 97.6% | <0.1% | 64 |
| 2 |  ES Tunis | 6 | 13 | 15% | 81.6% | <0.1% | 57 |
| 3 |  US Monastirienne | 6 | 12 | 6.9% | 62% | <0.1% | 55 |
| 4 |  Club Africain | 6 | 12 | 6.4% | 56.9% | <0.1% | 54 |
| 5 |  Stade Tunisien | 7 | 13 | 2.4% | 41.7% | <0.1% | 52 |
| 6 |  Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer | 6 | 11 | 1.9% | 38.3% | <0.1% | 52 |
| 7 |  CA Bizertin | 7 | 11 | 0.2% | 8.2% | 0.1% | 46 |
| 8 |  CS Sfaxien | 6 | 9 | 0.2% | 6.6% | 0.1% | 45 |
| 9 |  Jeunesse Sportive Omrane | 7 | 10 | 0.1% | 3.7% | 0.1% | 43 |
| 10 |  ES Sahel | 5 | 7 | 0.1% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 42 |
| 11 |  AS Marsa | 6 | 6 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 5% | 35 |
| 12 |  ES Zarzis | 6 | 6 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 7% | 34 |
| 13 |  CS Hammam-Lif | 7 | 5 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 33.1% | 28 |
| 14 |  ES Metlaoui | 6 | 3 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 76.2% | 23 |
| 15 |  Olympique Béja | 7 | 3 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 80.6% | 22 |
| 16 |  ES Hammam-Sousse | 7 | 1 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 97.6% | 16 |
Next Ligue 1 fixtures — with AI predictions
- ES Tunis – US MonastirienneSat, Nov 7AI prediction
- ES Sahel – CS SfaxienSat, Nov 7AI prediction
- Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer – Club AfricainSat, Nov 7AI prediction
- ES Metlaoui – ES ZarzisSun, Nov 8AI prediction
- CS Sfaxien – Jeunesse Sportive OmraneSat, Nov 21AI prediction
- Club Africain – ES TunisSat, Nov 21AI prediction
- ES Zarzis – US Ben GuerdaneSat, Nov 21AI prediction
- Stade Tunisien – CA BizertinSat, Nov 21AI prediction
Methodology
Every remaining Ligue 1 fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Ligue 1 in 2026/27?
US Ben Guerdane wins Ligue 1 in 67.1% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.