Who Will Win Division 1?
2,000 season simulations · 306 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Division 1 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Al Ula wins Division 1 in 98.8% of 2,000 season simulations.
Al Jabalain — 1% title chance.
Al Bukayriyah goes down in 73.4% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Ula | 9 | 25 | 98.8% | 100% | <0.1% | 83 |
| 2 |  Al Jabalain | 10 | 21 | 1% | 88.3% | <0.1% | 66 |
| 3 |  Al Najma | 10 | 19 | 0.1% | 69.3% | <0.1% | 62 |
| 4 |  Al Wehda Club | 10 | 18 | 0.1% | 54.8% | <0.1% | 61 |
| 5 |  Damac | 10 | 18 | 0.1% | 41% | <0.1% | 59 |
| 6 |  Al Zulfi | 10 | 17 | 0.1% | 34.9% | <0.1% | 58 |
| 7 |  Al Anwar | 9 | 14 | <0.1% | 10.6% | <0.1% | 53 |
| 8 |  Al Taee | 10 | 14 | <0.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 47 |
| 9 |  Al-Adalah | 10 | 13 | <0.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 47 |
| 10 |  Al Saqer | 10 | 11 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 1.5% | 42 |
| 11 |  Al-Raed | 10 | 10 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 8% | 38 |
| 12 |  Jeddah Club | 10 | 9 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 15% | 36 |
| 13 |  Al Orubah | 9 | 8 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 13.7% | 36 |
| 14 |  Al Okhdood | 9 | 7 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 33.5% | 33 |
| 15 |  Al Jandal | 9 | 6 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 43.8% | 31 |
| 16 |  Hajer | 9 | 6 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 53.7% | 30 |
| 17 |  Al Jeel | 8 | 5 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 57.3% | 30 |
| 18 |  Al Bukayriyah | 10 | 6 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 73.4% | 28 |
Next Division 1 fixtures — with AI predictions
- Al Jandal – HajerSat, Nov 7AI prediction
- Al Najma – Al UlaSat, Nov 7AI prediction
- Al Saqer – Al BukayriyahSat, Nov 7AI prediction
- Damac – Al AnwarSun, Nov 8AI prediction
- Al Taee – Al-RaedSun, Nov 8AI prediction
- Al Okhdood – Al JabalainSun, Nov 8AI prediction
- Al Wehda Club – Al JeelSun, Nov 8AI prediction
- Al-Raed – Al OkhdoodMon, Nov 23AI prediction
Methodology
Every remaining Division 1 fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Division 1 in 2026/27?
Al Ula wins Division 1 in 98.8% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.